Market comparison

Illinois's 1st District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $23K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $9K reported volume

Observed 59s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Illinois's 1st District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.8% Democrat 0-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8% Democrat 15-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.2% Bid 0.8% · Ask 3.6% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.1% Bid 14.1% · Ask 20.0% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 25.0% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	40.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 60.0% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.9% Bid 14.0% · Ask 21.8% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.7% Bid 2.3% · Ask 11.1% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2% Democrat 55%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jackson, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.1% Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.2% Jackson, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jackson, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 87.0% Jackson, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jackson, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	71.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 78.0% Jackson, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jackson, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 67.0% Jackson, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jackson, 38+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	51.5% Bid 46.0% · Ask 57.0% Jackson, 38+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jackson, 41+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.5% Bid 35.0% · Ask 46.0% Jackson, 41+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jackson, 44+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	36.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 36.0% Jackson, 44+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jackson, 47+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 25.0% Jackson, 47+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jackson, 50+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.7% Bid 4.3% · Ask 15.0% Jackson, 50+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.8%

Democrat 0-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8%

Democrat 15-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 3.6%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.1%

Bid 14.1% · Ask 20.0%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 25.0%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

40.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 60.0%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.9%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 21.8%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.7%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 11.1%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2%

Democrat 55%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jackson, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.1%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.2%

Jackson, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Jackson, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 87.0%

Jackson, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Jackson, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 78.0%

Jackson, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Jackson, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 67.0%

Jackson, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Jackson, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

51.5%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 57.0%

Jackson, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Jackson, 41+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

40.5%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 46.0%

Jackson, 41+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Jackson, 44+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 36.0%

Jackson, 44+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Jackson, 47+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 25.0%

Jackson, 47+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Jackson, 50+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.7%

Bid 4.3% · Ask 15.0%

Jackson, 50+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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