Market comparison

Illinois's 2nd District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 26s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 26s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Illinois's 2nd District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.0% Democrat 0-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.5% Democrat 15-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 30.0% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 21.0% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	34.8% Bid 33.0% · Ask 36.6% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.6% Bid 1.1% · Ask 26.1% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9% Democrat 55%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Miller, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.9% Bid 93.8% · Ask 97.6% Miller, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Miller, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 87.0% Miller, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Miller, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 79.0% Miller, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Miller, 37+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	65.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 68.0% Miller, 37+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Miller, 40+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 65.0% Miller, 40+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Miller, 43+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 47.0% Miller, 43+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Miller, 46+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 34.0% Miller, 46+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Miller, 49+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 26.0% Miller, 49+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Miller, 52+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 5.8% · Ask 14.0% Miller, 52+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.7% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.0%

Democrat 0-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.5%

Democrat 15-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 30.0%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 21.0%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

34.8%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 36.6%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.6%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 26.1%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9%

Democrat 55%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Miller, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.9%

Bid 93.8% · Ask 97.6%

Miller, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Miller, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 87.0%

Miller, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Miller, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 79.0%

Miller, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Miller, 37+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 68.0%

Miller, 37+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Miller, 40+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 65.0%

Miller, 40+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Miller, 43+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 47.0%

Miller, 43+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Miller, 46+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 34.0%

Miller, 46+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Miller, 49+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 26.0%

Miller, 49+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Miller, 52+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 5.8% · Ask 14.0%

Miller, 52+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.7%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets