Market comparison

Illinois's 7th District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 34s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 34s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Illinois's 7th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% Democrat 0-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 2.2% · Ask 3.7% Democrat 45-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60-65% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.2% Bid 2.3% · Ask 16.1% Democrat 60-65% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 65-70% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 35.0% Democrat 65-70% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 70-75% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	36.9% Bid 27.6% · Ask 46.1% Democrat 70-75% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 75-80% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.1% Bid 20.5% · Ask 29.8% Democrat 75-80% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 80-85% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.2% Bid 0.7% · Ask 7.6% Democrat 80-85% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 85%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.3% Democrat 85%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ford, 56+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.0% Bid 92.3% · Ask 97.5% Ford, 56+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ford, 59+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.8% Bid 84.0% · Ask 95.6% Ford, 59+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ford, 62+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	77.5% Bid 77.0% · Ask 78.0% Ford, 62+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ford, 65+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 79.0% Ford, 65+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ford, 68+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 67.0% Ford, 68+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ford, 71+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.5% Bid 41.0% · Ask 46.0% Ford, 71+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ford, 74+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 36.0% Ford, 74+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ford, 77+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0% Ford, 77+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ford, 80+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 2.2% · Ask 14.0% Ford, 80+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

Democrat 0-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 3.7%

Democrat 45-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60-65%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.2%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 16.1%

Democrat 60-65%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 65-70%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 35.0%

Democrat 65-70%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 70-75%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

36.9%

Bid 27.6% · Ask 46.1%

Democrat 70-75%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 75-80%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.1%

Bid 20.5% · Ask 29.8%

Democrat 75-80%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 80-85%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 7.6%

Democrat 80-85%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 85%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.3%

Democrat 85%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ford, 56+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 92.3% · Ask 97.5%

Ford, 56+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ford, 59+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.8%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 95.6%

Ford, 59+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ford, 62+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

77.5%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 78.0%

Ford, 62+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ford, 65+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 79.0%

Ford, 65+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ford, 68+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 67.0%

Ford, 68+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ford, 71+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 46.0%

Ford, 71+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ford, 74+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 36.0%

Ford, 74+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ford, 77+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0%

Ford, 77+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ford, 80+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 14.0%

Ford, 80+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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