Market comparison

Indiana's 5th District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 18s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Indiana's 5th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 7.1% · Ask 8.8% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 0.6% · Ask 9.5% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.3% Bid 4.2% · Ask 6.3% Democrat 3%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 14.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 22.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 22.0% · Ask 23.0% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18-21% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.9% Republican 18-21% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 21%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 5.5% · Ask 5.6% Republican 21%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spartz, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 83.0% Spartz, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Spartz, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	63.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 73.0% Spartz, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Spartz, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	48.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 59.0% Spartz, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Spartz, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 45.0% Spartz, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Spartz, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 32.0% Spartz, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Spartz, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 21.0% Spartz, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Spartz, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 2.4% · Ask 13.0% Spartz, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Spartz, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.8% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.8% Spartz, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Spartz, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.5% Spartz, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 7.1% · Ask 8.8%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 9.5%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 6.3%

Democrat 3%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 14.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 22.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 23.0%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18-21%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.9%

Republican 18-21%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 21%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 5.5% · Ask 5.6%

Republican 21%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spartz, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 83.0%

Spartz, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Spartz, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 73.0%

Spartz, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Spartz, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

48.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 59.0%

Spartz, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Spartz, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 45.0%

Spartz, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Spartz, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 32.0%

Spartz, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Spartz, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 21.0%

Spartz, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Spartz, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 13.0%

Spartz, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Spartz, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.8%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.8%

Spartz, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Spartz, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.5%

Spartz, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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