Market comparison

Iowa Governor margin of victory

2 venues · 22 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $88K reported volume

Observed 52s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Iowa Governor margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Lahn 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.8% Lahn 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lahn 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.7% Bid 0.8% · Ask 2.5% Lahn 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lahn 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.4% Lahn 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lahn 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% Lahn 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lahn 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.6% Lahn 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lahn, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.9% Bid 4.8% · Ask 13.0% Lahn, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lahn, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.6% Bid 5.6% · Ask 8.7% Lahn, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lahn, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 3.2% · Ask 4.9% Lahn, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lahn, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.6% Lahn, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sand 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.4% Bid 22.4% · Ask 22.5% Sand 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sand 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0% Sand 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sand 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0% Sand 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sand 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.4% Bid 8.7% · Ask 10.1% Sand 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sand 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Sand 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sand, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	84.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 86.0% Sand, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sand, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	68.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 69.0% Sand, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sand, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 69.0% Sand, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sand, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	44.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 45.0% Sand, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sand, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 44.0% Sand, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sand, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 26.0% Sand, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sand, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 9.1% · Ask 13.0% Sand, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sand, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.3% · Ask 7.8% Sand, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Lahn 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.8%

Lahn 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Lahn 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 2.5%

Lahn 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Lahn 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.4%

Lahn 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Lahn 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

Lahn 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Lahn 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.6%

Lahn 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Lahn, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.9%

Bid 4.8% · Ask 13.0%

Lahn, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lahn, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.6%

Bid 5.6% · Ask 8.7%

Lahn, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lahn, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.9%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 4.9%

Lahn, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lahn, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.6%

Lahn, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sand 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

22.4%

Bid 22.4% · Ask 22.5%

Sand 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Sand 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0%

Sand 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Sand 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0%

Sand 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Sand 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

9.4%

Bid 8.7% · Ask 10.1%

Sand 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Sand 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0%

Sand 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Sand, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 86.0%

Sand, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sand, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 69.0%

Sand, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sand, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 69.0%

Sand, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sand, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 45.0%

Sand, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sand, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 44.0%

Sand, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sand, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 26.0%

Sand, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sand, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 9.1% · Ask 13.0%

Sand, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sand, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 7.8%

Sand, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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