Market comparison

Iowa Senate Election: Turnout

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $27K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Iowa Senate Election: Turnout
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
1.2M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.0% <1.2M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1.2M-1.25M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.9% Bid 11.0% · Ask 18.9% 1.2M-1.25M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1.3M-1.35M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0% 1.3M-1.35M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1.4M-1.45M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 26.0% 1.4M-1.45M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1.5M-1.55M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.3% Bid 1.6% · Ask 11.1% 1.5M-1.55M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1.6M+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 4.4% · Ask 9.5% 1.6M+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1.25M-1.3M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.8% Bid 6.4% · Ask 17.2% 1.25M-1.3M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1.35M-1.4M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0% 1.35M-1.4M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1.45M-1.5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.6% Bid 28.3% · Ask 32.8% 1.45M-1.5M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1.55M-1.6M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2% 1.55M-1.6M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above 1.10M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.0% Bid 91.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 1.10M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.16M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 98.0% Above 1.16M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.22M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 92.0% Above 1.22M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.28M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 85.0% Above 1.28M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.34M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	64.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 72.0% Above 1.34M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.40M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 59.0% Above 1.40M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.46M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 42.0% Above 1.46M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.52M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 26.0% Above 1.52M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.58M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 19.0% Above 1.58M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.64M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 16.0% Above 1.64M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.70M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.0% Above 1.70M Open Kalshi ↗	—

1.2M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.0%

<1.2M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1.2M-1.25M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.9%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 18.9%

1.2M-1.25M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1.3M-1.35M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0%

1.3M-1.35M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1.4M-1.45M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 26.0%

1.4M-1.45M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1.5M-1.55M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 11.1%

1.5M-1.55M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1.6M+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 4.4% · Ask 9.5%

1.6M+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1.25M-1.3M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.8%

Bid 6.4% · Ask 17.2%

1.25M-1.3M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1.35M-1.4M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

1.35M-1.4M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1.45M-1.5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.6%

Bid 28.3% · Ask 32.8%

1.45M-1.5M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1.55M-1.6M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2%

1.55M-1.6M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 1.10M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.0%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 1.10M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.16M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 98.0%

Above 1.16M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.22M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 92.0%

Above 1.22M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.28M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 85.0%

Above 1.28M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.34M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 72.0%

Above 1.34M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.40M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 59.0%

Above 1.40M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.46M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 42.0%

Above 1.46M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.52M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 26.0%

Above 1.52M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.58M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 19.0%

Above 1.58M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.64M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 16.0%

Above 1.64M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.70M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.0%

Above 1.70M

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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