Market comparison

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

2 venues · 13 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 16s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 25, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 16s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 30, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
4.5-5.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 29.0% 4.5-5.5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
4.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% <4.5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
5.5-6.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 32.0% 5.5-6.5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
6.5-7.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 44.0% 6.5-7.5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
7.5%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0% 7.5%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
At least 30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	95.0% Bid 94.0% · Ask 99.0% At least 30% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
At least 34% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	84.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 88.0% At least 34% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
At least 38% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	67.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 67.0% At least 38% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
At least 42% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	57.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 58.0% At least 42% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
At least 46% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	37.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 45.0% At least 46% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
At least 50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 27.0% At least 50% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
At least 54% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 16.0% At least 54% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
At least 58% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 13.0% At least 58% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

4.5-5.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 29.0%

4.5-5.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

4.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

<4.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

5.5-6.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 32.0%

5.5-6.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

6.5-7.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

35.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 44.0%

6.5-7.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

7.5%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0%

7.5%+

Open Polymarket ↗

At least 30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

95.0%

Bid 94.0% · Ask 99.0%

At least 30%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

At least 34%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 88.0%

At least 34%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

At least 38%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 67.0%

At least 38%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

At least 42%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 58.0%

At least 42%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

At least 46%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 45.0%

At least 46%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

At least 50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 27.0%

At least 50%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

At least 54%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 16.0%

At least 54%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

At least 58%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 13.0%

At least 58%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets