The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

2 venues · 31 outcome rows · 10 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

29 outcomes · $113K reported volume

Observed 14s ago

Observed 14s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

39 outcomes · $44K reported volume

Observed 14s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 28, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Blue and White

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Blue and White

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8%

Blue and White

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Likud

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0%

Likud

Open Kalshi ↗

69.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 70.0%

Likud

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

67.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 68.0%

Likud

Open Polymarket ↗

Otzma Yehudit

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Otzma Yehudit

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Otzma Yehudit

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.8 pp

Ra'am

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Ra'am

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8%

Ra'am

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Shas

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Shas

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Shas

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.9 pp

The Democrats

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

The Democrats

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

The Democrats

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.9 pp

Together

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Together

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.0%

Together

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 3.5% · Ask 10.0%

Together

Open Polymarket ↗

United Torah Judaism

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

United Torah Judaism

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8%

United Torah Judaism

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Yashar

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 74.0%

Yashar

Open Kalshi ↗

31.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 31.0%

Yashar

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

27.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 30.0%

Yashar

Open Polymarket ↗

Yisrael Beiteinu

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Yisrael Beiteinu

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Yisrael Beiteinu

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.9 pp

A Place for All of Us

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

A Place for All of Us

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Amcha Yisrael

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8%

Amcha Yisrael

Open Polymarket ↗

Bennett 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.2%

Bennett 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Haredi Public

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Haredi Public

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Israel First

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Israel First

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Joint List

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Joint List

Open Polymarket ↗

Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

National Unity

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.8%

National Unity

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

New Economic Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

New Economic Party

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Noam

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid — · Ask 0.9%

Noam

Open Polymarket ↗

Noam for Israel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Noam for Israel

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

People of Israel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

People of Israel

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Religious Zionist Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Religious Zionist Party

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Religious Zionist Party–Zehut

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Religious Zionist Party–Zehut

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

RZP-Zehut

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

RZP-Zehut

Open Polymarket ↗

The Reservists and the Economic Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

The Reservists and the Economic Party

Open Polymarket ↗

The Reservists and the Economic Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Reservists–New Economic Party

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Unity

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Unity

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Yesh Atid

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.5%

Yesh Atid

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Zehut

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Zehut

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Zionist Home–The Reservists

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Zionist Home–The Reservists

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.