Market comparison
Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place
2 venues · 22 outcome rows · 10 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗20 outcomes · $137K reported volume
Observed 29s ago
Observed 29s ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2027
Polymarket
Open venue ↗39 outcomes · $20K reported volume
Observed 29s ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 28, 2026
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Blue and White Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.9 pp | ||
Likud Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Otzma Yehudit Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 2.3 pp | ||
Ra'am Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.9 pp | ||
Shas Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 11.5 pp | ||
The Democrats Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 3.0 pp | ||
Together Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
United Torah Judaism Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 5.5 pp | ||
Yashar Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Yisrael Beiteinu Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 9.0 pp | ||
Amcha Yisrael Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Bennett 2026 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Joint List Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad) Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
National Unity Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Noam Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
People of Israel Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Religious Zionist Party–Zehut Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
RZP-Zehut Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
The Reservists and the Economic Party Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
The Reservists and the Economic Party Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Yesh Atid Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Blue and White
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
Likud
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Otzma Yehudit
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.3 pp
Ra'am
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
Shas
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 11.5 pp
The Democrats
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 3.0 pp
Together
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
United Torah Judaism
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 5.5 pp
Yashar
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Yisrael Beiteinu
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 9.0 pp
Amcha Yisrael
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Bennett 2026
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Joint List
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
National Unity
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Noam
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
People of Israel
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Religious Zionist Party–Zehut
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
RZP-Zehut
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
The Reservists and the Economic Party
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
The Reservists and the Economic Party
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Yesh Atid
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.