Market comparison

Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

2 venues · 32 outcome rows · 10 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

69 outcomes · $53K reported volume

Observed 23s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 28, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

23 outcomes · $13K reported volume

Observed 23s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Blue and White Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Blue and White Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Blue and White Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Likud Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	66.5% Bid 65.0% · Ask 68.0% Likud Open Polymarket ↗	67.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 69.0% Likud Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Otzma Yehudit Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Otzma Yehudit Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Otzma Yehudit Open Kalshi ↗	1.8 pp
Ra'am Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8% Ra'am Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Ra'am Open Kalshi ↗	0.6 pp
Shas Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Shas Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Shas Open Kalshi ↗	1.9 pp
The Democrats Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% The Democrats Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% The Democrats Open Kalshi ↗	1.9 pp
Together Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.5% Bid 1.5% · Ask 5.6% Together Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.0% Together Open Kalshi ↗	1.5 pp
United Torah Judaism Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8% United Torah Judaism Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% United Torah Judaism Open Kalshi ↗	1.6 pp
Yashar Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	30.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 32.0% Yashar Open Polymarket ↗	31.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 32.0% Yashar Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Yisrael Beiteinu Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Yisrael Beiteinu Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Yisrael Beiteinu Open Kalshi ↗	1.9 pp
A Place for All of Us Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% A Place for All of Us Open Kalshi ↗	—
Amcha Yisrael Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8% Amcha Yisrael Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Greens Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Greens Open Polymarket ↗ 7.6% Bid 0.4% · Ask 14.9% Greens Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Haredi Public Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Haredi Public Open Kalshi ↗	—
Israel First Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Israel First Open Kalshi ↗	—
Joint List Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Joint List Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad) Open Kalshi ↗	—
Labor Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	67.5% Bid 62.0% · Ask 73.0% Labor Open Polymarket ↗ 17.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 25.0% Labor Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Liberal–National Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.4% Bid 15.5% · Ask 21.2% Liberal–National Open Polymarket ↗ 39.5% Bid 39.0% · Ask 40.0% Liberal–National Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
New Economic Party Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% New Economic Party Open Kalshi ↗	—
Noam Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid — · Ask 0.9% Noam Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Noam for Israel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Noam for Israel Open Kalshi ↗	—
One Nation Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.6% Bid 5.0% · Ask 22.1% One Nation Open Polymarket ↗ 13.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 19.0% One Nation Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
People of Israel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% People of Israel Open Kalshi ↗	—
Religious Zionist Party Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Religious Zionist Party Open Kalshi ↗	—
Religious Zionist Party–Zehut Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Religious Zionist Party–Zehut Open Kalshi ↗	—
RZP-Zehut Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% RZP-Zehut Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Reservists and the Economic Party Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% The Reservists and the Economic Party Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Reservists and the Economic Party Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Reservists–New Economic Party Open Kalshi ↗	—
Unity Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Unity Open Kalshi ↗	—
Zehut Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Zehut Open Kalshi ↗	—
Zionist Home–The Reservists Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Zionist Home–The Reservists Open Kalshi ↗	—

Blue and White

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9%

Blue and White

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Blue and White

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Likud

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

66.5%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 68.0%

Likud

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 69.0%

Likud

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Otzma Yehudit

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Otzma Yehudit

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Otzma Yehudit

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.8 pp

Ra'am

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8%

Ra'am

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Ra'am

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.6 pp

Shas

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Shas

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Shas

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.9 pp

The Democrats

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

The Democrats

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

The Democrats

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.9 pp

Together

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 5.6%

Together

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.0%

Together

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

United Torah Judaism

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8%

United Torah Judaism

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

United Torah Judaism

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.6 pp

Yashar

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 32.0%

Yashar

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 32.0%

Yashar

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Yisrael Beiteinu

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Yisrael Beiteinu

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Yisrael Beiteinu

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.9 pp

A Place for All of Us

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

A Place for All of Us

Open Kalshi ↗

Amcha Yisrael

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8%

Amcha Yisrael

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Greens

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9%

Greens

Open Polymarket ↗

7.6%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 14.9%

Greens

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Haredi Public

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Haredi Public

Open Kalshi ↗

Israel First

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Israel First

Open Kalshi ↗

Joint List

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Joint List

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)

Open Kalshi ↗

Labor

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

67.5%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 73.0%

Labor

Open Polymarket ↗

17.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 25.0%

Labor

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Liberal–National

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.4%

Bid 15.5% · Ask 21.2%

Liberal–National

Open Polymarket ↗

39.5%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 40.0%

Liberal–National

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

New Economic Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

New Economic Party

Open Kalshi ↗

Noam

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid — · Ask 0.9%

Noam

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Noam for Israel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Noam for Israel

Open Kalshi ↗

One Nation

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.6%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 22.1%

One Nation

Open Polymarket ↗

13.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 19.0%

One Nation

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

People of Israel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

People of Israel

Open Kalshi ↗

Religious Zionist Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Religious Zionist Party

Open Kalshi ↗

Religious Zionist Party–Zehut

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Religious Zionist Party–Zehut

Open Kalshi ↗

RZP-Zehut

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

RZP-Zehut

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

The Reservists and the Economic Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

The Reservists and the Economic Party

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

The Reservists and the Economic Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Reservists–New Economic Party

Open Kalshi ↗

Unity

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Unity

Open Kalshi ↗

Zehut

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Zehut

Open Kalshi ↗

Zionist Home–The Reservists

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Zionist Home–The Reservists

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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