Market comparison

Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

2 venues · 31 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

23 outcomes · $442K reported volume

Observed 39s ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 28, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $46K reported volume

Observed 39s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 16, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
0.0% or Below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.9% 0.0% or Below Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
0.0%–0.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.9% Bid 24.8% · Ask 26.9% 0.0%–0.8% Open Polymarket ↗	—
0.1% to 0.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.7% 0.1% to 0.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
0.6% to 1.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.5% 0.6% to 1.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
0.8%–0.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0% -0.8%–0.0% Open Polymarket ↗	—
0.8%–1.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 24.0% 0.8%–1.6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
1.1% to 1.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.1% Bid 3.1% · Ask 4.6% 1.1% to 1.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
1.6% to 2.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.1% Bid 16.0% · Ask 20.9% 1.6% to 2.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
1.6%– -0.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.8% Bid 12.3% · Ask 17.2% -1.6%– -0.8% Open Polymarket ↗	—
1.6%–2.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.1% Bid 9.2% · Ask 17.0% 1.6%–2.4% Open Polymarket ↗	—
2.1% to 2.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.1% Bid 50.1% · Ask 66.0% 2.1% to 2.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
2.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 1.6% · Ask 10.4% <-2.4% Open Polymarket ↗	—
2.4%– -1.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.2% Bid 0.6% · Ask 17.8% -2.4%– -1.6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
2.4%–3.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 10.0% 2.4%–3.2% Open Polymarket ↗	—
2.6% to 3.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 12.2% · Ask 14.5% 2.6% to 3.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
3.1% to 3.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.9% 3.1% to 3.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
3.2%–4.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 1.4% · Ask 4.7% 3.2%–4.0% Open Polymarket ↗	—
3.6% to 4.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% 3.6% to 4.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
4.0%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.1% Bid 0.7% · Ask 11.5% 4.0%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
4.1% to 4.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.9% 4.1% to 4.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
4.6% to 5.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.4% 4.6% to 5.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.1% to 5.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.4% 5.1% to 5.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.6% to 6.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1% 5.6% to 6.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
6.1% or Above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.4% 6.1% or Above Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above -0.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	81.5% Bid 77.0% · Ask 86.0% Above -0.2% Open Kalshi ↗ 58.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 66.0% Above 0.2% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above -0.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	87.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 94.0% Above -0.4% Open Kalshi ↗ 44.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 44.0% Above 0.4% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 0.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	76.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 76.0% Above 0.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 0.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 24.0% Above 0.6% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 0.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 14.0% Above 0.8% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 1.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.0% Above 1.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 1.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Above 1.2% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

0.0% or Below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.9%

0.0% or Below

Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

Kalshi

Polymarket

0.0% or Below

Kalshi

Polymarket

0.0%–0.8%

Kalshi

Polymarket

0.1% to 0.5%

Kalshi

Polymarket

0.6% to 1.0%

Kalshi

Polymarket

0.8%–0.0%

Kalshi

Polymarket

0.8%–1.6%

Kalshi

Polymarket

1.1% to 1.5%

Kalshi

Polymarket

1.6% to 2.0%

Kalshi

Polymarket

1.6%– -0.8%

Kalshi

Polymarket

1.6%–2.4%

Kalshi

Polymarket

2.1% to 2.5%

Kalshi

Polymarket

2.4%

Kalshi

Polymarket

2.4%– -1.6%

Kalshi

Polymarket

2.4%–3.2%

Kalshi

Polymarket

2.6% to 3.0%

Kalshi

Polymarket

3.1% to 3.5%

Kalshi

Polymarket

3.2%–4.0%

Kalshi

Polymarket

3.6% to 4.0%

Kalshi

Polymarket

4.0%+

Kalshi

Polymarket

4.1% to 4.5%

Kalshi

Polymarket

4.6% to 5.0%

Kalshi

Polymarket

5.1% to 5.5%

Kalshi

Polymarket

5.6% to 6.0%

Kalshi

Polymarket

6.1% or Above

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above -0.2%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above -0.4%

Kalshi