Market comparison

Kentucky's 5th District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 16s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Kentucky's 5th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.7% Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.7% Republican 0-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 2.1% · Ask 6.9% Republican 30-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.2% Bid 2.0% · Ask 18.4% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.3% Bid 12.2% · Ask 34.3% Republican 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.2% Bid 17.9% · Ask 30.5% Republican 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 60-65% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.3% Bid 1.2% · Ask 9.3% Republican 60-65% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 65-70% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 1.8% · Ask 8.3% Republican 65-70% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 70%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Republican 70%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Rogers, 42+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 92.5% Rogers, 42+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 45+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.5% Bid 78.0% · Ask 83.0% Rogers, 45+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 48+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	68.5% Bid 64.0% · Ask 73.0% Rogers, 48+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 51+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	51.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 57.0% Rogers, 51+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 54+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0% Rogers, 54+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 57+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 22.0% Rogers, 57+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 60+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 12.0% Rogers, 60+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 63+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.6% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.6% Rogers, 63+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 66+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.2% Rogers, 66+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.7%

Republican 0-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 6.9%

Republican 30-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.2%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 18.4%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.3%

Bid 12.2% · Ask 34.3%

Republican 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.2%

Bid 17.9% · Ask 30.5%

Republican 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 60-65%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 9.3%

Republican 60-65%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 65-70%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 8.3%

Republican 65-70%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 70%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9%

Republican 70%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Rogers, 42+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 92.5%

Rogers, 42+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 45+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.5%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 83.0%

Rogers, 45+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 48+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

68.5%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 73.0%

Rogers, 48+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 51+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 57.0%

Rogers, 51+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 54+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0%

Rogers, 54+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 57+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 22.0%

Rogers, 57+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 60+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 12.0%

Rogers, 60+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 63+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.6%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.6%

Rogers, 63+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 66+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.2%

Rogers, 66+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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