The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

League Phase Top Finisher

2 venues · 46 outcome rows · 26 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

36 outcomes · $103K reported volume

Observed 46s ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 11, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

36 outcomes · $47K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 28, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

AEK Athens

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

AEK Athens

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 1.8%

AEK Athens

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.7 pp

Arsenal

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0%

Arsenal

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

92.0%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 93.0%

Arsenal

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 81.0 pp

Aston Villa

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Aston Villa

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 50.0%

Aston Villa

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 48.5 pp

Barcelona

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0%

Barcelona

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

80.5%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 81.0%

Barcelona

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 70.5 pp

Bayern Munich

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Bayern Munich

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

57.5%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 58.0%

Bayern Munich

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 55.5 pp

Club Brugge

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Club Brugge

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

13.1%

Bid 12.1% · Ask 14.0%

Club Brugge

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 12.6 pp

Como

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Como

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0%

Como

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 15.0 pp

Feyenoord

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Feyenoord

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 9.0%

Feyenoord

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 6.0 pp

Galatasaray

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Galatasaray

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.7%

Galatasaray

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.3 pp

LASK

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

LASK

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.0%

LASK

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.4 pp

Lens

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Lens

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 6.5%

Lens

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Lille

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Lille

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.8%

Lille

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Liverpool

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 13.0%

Liverpool

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

82.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 84.0%

Liverpool

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 69.0 pp

Manchester City

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Manchester City

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

55.5%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 57.0%

Manchester City

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 54.5 pp

Manchester United

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Manchester United

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Manchester United

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 10.5 pp

Napoli

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Napoli

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

Napoli

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 6.0 pp

Porto

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Porto

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.2%

Porto

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.3 pp

PSV Eindhoven

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

PSV Eindhoven

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 8.0%

PSV Eindhoven

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.0 pp

Real Betis

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Real Betis

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

42.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 43.0%

Real Betis

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 41.0 pp

Real Madrid

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 26.0%

Real Madrid

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

95.7%

Bid 94.8% · Ask 96.6%

Real Madrid

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 69.7 pp

Roma

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Roma

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 20.0%

Roma

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 11.0 pp

Slavia Prague

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Slavia Prague

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.5%

Slavia Prague

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Slovan Bratislava

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Slovan Bratislava

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.6%

Slovan Bratislava

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.6 pp

Sporting CP

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Sporting CP

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0%

Sporting CP

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 13.0 pp

Viking

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Viking

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 5.5%

Viking

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Villarreal

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Villarreal

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

Villarreal

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 10.0 pp

Atletico

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Atletico

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Atlético Madrid

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0%

Atlético Madrid

Open Polymarket ↗

Bodø/Glimt

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Bodoe/Glimt

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bodø/Glimt

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.8%

Bodø/Glimt

Open Polymarket ↗

Borussia Dortmund

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

20.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 22.0%

Borussia Dortmund

Open Polymarket ↗

Dortmund

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Dortmund

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Fenerbahce

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Fenerbahce

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Fenerbahçe

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 4.9%

Fenerbahçe

Open Polymarket ↗

Inter

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Inter

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Inter Milan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.0%

Inter Milan

Open Polymarket ↗

Leipzig

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Leipzig

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Paris Saint-Germain

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

93.0%

Bid 92.0% · Ask 94.0%

Paris Saint-Germain

Open Polymarket ↗

PSG

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 45.0%

PSG

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

RB Leipzig

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 18.0%

RB Leipzig

Open Polymarket ↗

Sabah

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.7%

Sabah

Open Polymarket ↗

Sabah Masazir

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Sabah Masazir

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shakhtar

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Shakhtar

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shakhtar Donetsk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.5%

Shakhtar Donetsk

Open Polymarket ↗

Stuttgart

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Stuttgart

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

VfB Stuttgart

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

33.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 34.0%

VfB Stuttgart

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.