Market comparison

LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador): 2026 Winner

2 venues · 30 outcome rows · 2 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

32 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

16 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 13, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador): 2026 Winner
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Barcelona SC Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.9% Barcelona SC Open Polymarket ↗	16.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 16.0% Barcelona SC Open Kalshi ↗	12.7 pp
LDU Quito Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% LDU Quito · closed Open Polymarket ↗	17.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 17.0% LDU Quito Open Kalshi ↗	17.0 pp
Aucas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Aucas · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
CD Cuenca Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	36.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 45.0% CD Cuenca Open Kalshi ↗	—
CD Tecnico Universitario Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 28.0% CD Tecnico Universitario Open Kalshi ↗	—
CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0% CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Open Kalshi ↗	—
CS Emelec Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 28.0% CS Emelec Open Kalshi ↗	—
CSD Independiente del Valle Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	76.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 98.0% CSD Independiente del Valle Open Kalshi ↗	—
CSD Independiente del Valle Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 26.0% CSD Macara Open Kalshi ↗	—
Delfín Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.6% Delfín · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Delfin SC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 22.0% Delfin SC Open Kalshi ↗	—
Deportivo Cuenca Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 1.0% Deportivo Cuenca · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Emelec Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.7% Emelec · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Guayaquil City Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.6% Guayaquil City · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Guayaquil City FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 31.0% Guayaquil City FC Open Kalshi ↗	—
Independiente del Valle Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	54.4% Bid 9.7% · Ask 99.0% Independiente del Valle Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leones Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Leones · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leones Futbol Club Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 33.0% Leones Futbol Club Open Kalshi ↗	—
Libertad Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.3% Libertad · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Libertad Loja Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 21.0% Libertad Loja Open Kalshi ↗	—
Macará Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Macará · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Manta Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.6% Manta · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Manta FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 59.0% Manta FC Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mushuc Runa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 1.0% Mushuc Runa · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mushuc Runa SC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 18.0% Mushuc Runa SC Open Kalshi ↗	—
Orense Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.7% Orense · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Orense SC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 18.0% Orense SC Open Kalshi ↗	—
SD Aucas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 15.0% SD Aucas Open Kalshi ↗	—
Técnico Universitario Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.4% Técnico Universitario · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Universidad Católica Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Universidad Católica · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Barcelona SC

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.9%

Barcelona SC

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 16.0%

Barcelona SC

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 12.7 pp

LDU Quito

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

LDU Quito · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 17.0%

LDU Quito

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 17.0 pp

Aucas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Aucas · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

CD Cuenca

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 45.0%

CD Cuenca

Open Kalshi ↗

CD Tecnico Universitario

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 28.0%

CD Tecnico Universitario

Open Kalshi ↗

CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0%

CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

Open Kalshi ↗

CS Emelec

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 28.0%

CS Emelec

Open Kalshi ↗

CSD Independiente del Valle

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 98.0%

CSD Independiente del Valle

Open Kalshi ↗

CSD Independiente del Valle

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 26.0%

CSD Macara

Open Kalshi ↗

Delfín

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.6%

Delfín · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Delfin SC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 22.0%

Delfin SC

Open Kalshi ↗

Deportivo Cuenca

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Deportivo Cuenca · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Emelec

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.7%

Emelec · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Guayaquil City

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.6%

Guayaquil City · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Guayaquil City FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 31.0%

Guayaquil City FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Independiente del Valle

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

54.4%

Bid 9.7% · Ask 99.0%

Independiente del Valle

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Leones

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Leones · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Leones Futbol Club

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 33.0%

Leones Futbol Club

Open Kalshi ↗

Libertad

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.3%

Libertad · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Libertad Loja

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 21.0%

Libertad Loja

Open Kalshi ↗

Macará

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Macará · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Manta

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.6%

Manta · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Manta FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 59.0%

Manta FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Mushuc Runa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Mushuc Runa · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mushuc Runa SC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 18.0%

Mushuc Runa SC

Open Kalshi ↗

Orense

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.7%

Orense · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Orense SC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 18.0%

Orense SC

Open Kalshi ↗

SD Aucas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 15.0%

SD Aucas

Open Kalshi ↗

Técnico Universitario

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Técnico Universitario · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Universidad Católica

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Universidad Católica · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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