Market comparison

Ljubljana mayoral election winner?

2 venues · 11 outcome rows · 9 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $84K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 15, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

35 outcomes · $70K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 16, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Generic non-US election template: rules are not uniform across events and need a per-event rules comparison before parity can be claimed.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Ljubljana mayoral election winner?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Aleksandar Repic Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Aleksandar Repić Open Kalshi ↗	0.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.5% Aleksandar Repić Open Polymarket ↗	0.6 pp
Ales Primc Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Aleš Primc Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Aleš Primc Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Anton Rop Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Anton Rop Open Kalshi ↗	2.8% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.6% Anton Rop Open Polymarket ↗	1.2 pp
Apolonija Simon Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Apolonija Simon Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Apolonija Simon Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Gregor Novak Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Gregor Novak Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Gregor Novak Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Jasmin Feratovic Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jasmin Feratović Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Jasmin Feratović Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Luka Mesec Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	18.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 20.0% Luka Mesec Open Kalshi ↗	23.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0% Luka Mesec Open Polymarket ↗	5.0 pp
Mihael Jarc Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Mihael Jarc Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Mihael Jarc Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Zoran Jankovic Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	71.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 72.0% Zoran Janković Open Kalshi ↗	71.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 72.0% Zoran Janković Open Polymarket ↗	0.0 pp
Aleš Vrhovec Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.1% Bid 1.7% · Ask 2.6% Aleš Vrhovec Open Polymarket ↗	—
Klemen Boštjančič Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.8% Bid 2.2% · Ask 3.3% Klemen Boštjančič Open Polymarket ↗	—

Aleksandar Repic

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Aleksandar Repić

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.5%

Aleksandar Repić

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.6 pp

Ales Primc

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Aleš Primc

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Aleš Primc

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Anton Rop

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Anton Rop

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.6%

Anton Rop

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.2 pp

Apolonija Simon

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Apolonija Simon

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Apolonija Simon

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Gregor Novak

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Gregor Novak

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Gregor Novak

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Jasmin Feratovic

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jasmin Feratović

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Jasmin Feratović

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Luka Mesec

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 20.0%

Luka Mesec

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0%

Luka Mesec

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.0 pp

Mihael Jarc

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Mihael Jarc

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Mihael Jarc

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Zoran Jankovic

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 72.0%

Zoran Janković

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

71.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 72.0%

Zoran Janković

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

Aleš Vrhovec

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 2.6%

Aleš Vrhovec

Open Polymarket ↗

Klemen Boštjančič

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 3.3%

Klemen Boštjančič

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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