The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Louisiana Senate margin of victory

2 venues · 24 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 59s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

15 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 59s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.1%

Bid 6.2% · Ask 10.0%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Letlow, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 88.0%

Letlow, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Letlow, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 81.0%

Letlow, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Letlow, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 75.0%

Letlow, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Letlow, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 67.0%

Letlow, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Letlow, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

54.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 57.0%

Letlow, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Letlow, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 48.0%

Letlow, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Letlow, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 39.0%

Letlow, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Letlow, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 32.0%

Letlow, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Letlow, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0%

Letlow, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Letlow, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 8.3% · Ask 20.0%

Letlow, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Letlow, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.4%

Bid 4.7% · Ask 16.0%

Letlow, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Letlow, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 13.0%

Letlow, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Letlow, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 12.0%

Letlow, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Letlow, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.9%

Letlow, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Letlow, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.4%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.4%

Letlow, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 27.5% · Ask 31.5%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 18.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 2.9%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 2.5%

Republican 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.