Market comparison

Maine Senate: margin of victory

2 venues · 41 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

31 outcomes · $410K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 48s ago

Observed 6m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Maine Senate: margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Collins 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0% Collins 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Collins 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0% Collins 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Collins 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Collins 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Collins 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.3% Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.1% Collins 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Collins 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.0% Collins 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Collins, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 34.0% Collins, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Collins, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.5% Bid 33.0% · Ask 34.0% Collins, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Collins, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 28.0% Collins, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Collins, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 24.0% Collins, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Collins, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0% Collins, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Collins, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 8.6% · Ask 17.0% Collins, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Collins, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.4% Bid 7.0% · Ask 9.7% Collins, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Collins, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.8% Bid 3.1% · Ask 6.9% Collins, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Collins, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 1.5% · Ask 4.9% Collins, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Collins, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.9% Collins, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jackson 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 14.5% · Ask 15.5% Jackson 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jackson 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 16.5% · Ask 17.4% Jackson 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jackson 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% Jackson 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jackson 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Jackson 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jackson 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Jackson 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jackson, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	58.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 60.0% Jackson, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jackson, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	51.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 51.0% Jackson, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jackson, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 41.0% Jackson, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jackson, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	34.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 36.0% Jackson, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jackson, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0% Jackson, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jackson, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0% Jackson, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jackson, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0% Jackson, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jackson, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 18.0% Jackson, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jackson, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.9% Bid 8.9% · Ask 10.0% Jackson, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jackson, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 5.1% · Ask 7.8% Jackson, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jackson, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.9% Jackson, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Susan Collins, ≥8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Susan Collins, ≥8% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Susan Collins, 0-2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Susan Collins, 0-2% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Susan Collins, 2-4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Susan Collins, 2-4% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Susan Collins, 4-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% Susan Collins, 4-6% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Susan Collins, 6-8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% Susan Collins, 6-8% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Troy Jackson, ≥8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0% Troy Jackson, ≥8% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Troy Jackson, 0-2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 17.0% Troy Jackson, 0-2% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Troy Jackson, 2-4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 16.0% Troy Jackson, 2-4% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Troy Jackson, 4-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 13.0% Troy Jackson, 4-6% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Troy Jackson, 6-8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0% Troy Jackson, 6-8% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Collins, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 34.0%

Collins, 1+ pts

Maine Senate: margin of victory

Kalshi

Polymarket

Collins 0-3%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Collins 3-6%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Collins 6-9%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Collins 9-12%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Collins 12%+

Kalshi

Polymarket

Collins, 1+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Collins, 2+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Collins, 3+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Collins, 4+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Collins, 5+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Collins, 6+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Collins, 7+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Collins, 8+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Collins, 10+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Collins, 12+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jackson 0-3%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jackson 3-6%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jackson 6-9%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jackson 9-12%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jackson 12%+

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jackson, 1+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jackson, 2+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jackson, 3+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jackson, 4+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jackson, 5+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jackson, 6+ pts

Kalshi