Market comparison

Maryland Governor margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 24s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Maryland Governor margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.7% Bid 1.1% · Ask 10.3% Democrat 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.6% Bid 1.1% · Ask 10.1% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.5% Bid 30.0% · Ask 33.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 21.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.7% Bid 11.1% · Ask 14.3% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 1.2% · Ask 8.2% Democrat 45%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Moore, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.3% Bid 90.8% · Ask 97.7% Moore, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 97.8% Moore, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.3% Bid 83.0% · Ask 93.4% Moore, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 84.0% Moore, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	65.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 71.0% Moore, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 59.0% Moore, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 33.0% Moore, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 39+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 24.0% Moore, 39+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 42+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.7% Bid 8.0% · Ask 15.0% Moore, 42+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.4% Bid 1.1% · Ask 3.6% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.7%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 10.3%

Democrat 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.6%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 10.1%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 33.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 21.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.7%

Bid 11.1% · Ask 14.3%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 8.2%

Democrat 45%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Moore, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.3%

Bid 90.8% · Ask 97.7%

Moore, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 97.8%

Moore, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.3%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 93.4%

Moore, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 84.0%

Moore, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 71.0%

Moore, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 59.0%

Moore, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 33.0%

Moore, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 39+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 24.0%

Moore, 39+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 42+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.7%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 15.0%

Moore, 42+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 3.6%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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