Market comparison

Maryland's 5th District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $8K reported volume

Observed 54s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 54s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Maryland's 5th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Boafo, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.0% Bid 92.0% · Ask 99.0% Boafo, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Boafo, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.8% Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.6% Boafo, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Boafo, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 81.0% Boafo, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Boafo, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	65.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 71.0% Boafo, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Boafo, 39+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	55.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 61.0% Boafo, 39+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Boafo, 42+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	45.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 51.0% Boafo, 42+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Boafo, 45+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 39.0% Boafo, 45+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Boafo, 48+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0% Boafo, 48+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Boafo, 51+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 5.6% · Ask 17.0% Boafo, 51+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 0-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8% Democrat 0-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 1.8% · Ask 7.1% Democrat 15-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.9% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.3% Bid 10.2% · Ask 12.4% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.6% Bid 1.8% · Ask 7.4% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	40.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 41.9% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.8% Bid 3.8% · Ask 11.9% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.6% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.3% Democrat 55%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.9% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Boafo, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 92.0% · Ask 99.0%

Boafo, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Boafo, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.8%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.6%

Boafo, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Boafo, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 81.0%

Boafo, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Boafo, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 71.0%

Boafo, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Boafo, 39+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 61.0%

Boafo, 39+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Boafo, 42+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 51.0%

Boafo, 42+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Boafo, 45+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 39.0%

Boafo, 45+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Boafo, 48+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0%

Boafo, 48+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Boafo, 51+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 5.6% · Ask 17.0%

Boafo, 51+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 0-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8%

Democrat 0-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 7.1%

Democrat 15-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.9%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.3%

Bid 10.2% · Ask 12.4%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.6%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 7.4%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

40.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 41.9%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.8%

Bid 3.8% · Ask 11.9%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.3%

Democrat 55%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.9%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets