Market comparison

Michigan Governor margin of victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

7 outcomes · $9K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Michigan Governor margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Benson 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.8% Benson 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Benson 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.0% Benson 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Benson 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 19.0% Benson 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Benson 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0% Benson 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Benson 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Benson 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Benson 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.6% Bid 8.9% · Ask 10.2% Benson 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Benson 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.2% Bid 9.3% · Ask 11.0% Benson 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrats, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.3% Bid 86.0% · Ask 90.3% Democrats, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	77.5% Bid 75.0% · Ask 80.0% Democrats, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	60.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 64.0% Democrats, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 45.0% Democrats, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 29.0% Democrats, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0% Democrats, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.1% Bid 5.0% · Ask 11.0% Democrats, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
James 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.4% Bid 6.8% · Ask 10.0% James 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
James 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.1% Bid 0.7% · Ask 7.5% James 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
James 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.8% James 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Benson 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.8%

Benson 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Benson 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.0%

Benson 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Benson 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 19.0%

Benson 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Benson 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0%

Benson 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Benson 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Benson 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Benson 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.6%

Bid 8.9% · Ask 10.2%

Benson 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Benson 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.2%

Bid 9.3% · Ask 11.0%

Benson 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrats, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.3%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 90.3%

Democrats, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

77.5%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 80.0%

Democrats, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 64.0%

Democrats, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 45.0%

Democrats, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 29.0%

Democrats, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0%

Democrats, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.1%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 11.0%

Democrats, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

James 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.4%

Bid 6.8% · Ask 10.0%

James 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

James 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 7.5%

James 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

James 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.8%

James 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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