Market comparison

Michigan Senate Election: Turnout

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $29K reported volume

Observed 54s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Michigan Senate Election: Turnout
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
4.2M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 29.0% <4.2M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.2M-4.4M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.5% 4.2M-4.4M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.4M-4.6M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0% 4.4M-4.6M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.6M-4.8M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 29.6% · Ask 30.4% 4.6M-4.8M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.8M-5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 39.0% 4.8M-5M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.2M-5.4M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.1% 5.2M-5.4M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.4M-5.6M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.1% 5.4M-5.6M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.6M+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.6% Bid 17.6% · Ask 37.6% 5.6M+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5M-5.2M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 10.8% 5M-5.2M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above 3.80M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 3.80M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.10M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 94.0% Above 4.10M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.40M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 83.0% Above 4.40M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.70M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	61.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0% Above 4.70M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 5.00M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	47.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 54.0% Above 5.00M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 5.30M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0% Above 5.30M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 5.60M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 28.0% Above 5.60M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 5.90M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 19.0% Above 5.90M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.10M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 17.0% Above 6.10M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.40M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 13.0% Above 6.40M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.70M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.0% Above 6.70M Open Kalshi ↗	—

4.2M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 29.0%

<4.2M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.2M-4.4M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.5%

4.2M-4.4M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.4M-4.6M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

4.4M-4.6M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.6M-4.8M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 29.6% · Ask 30.4%

4.6M-4.8M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.8M-5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 39.0%

4.8M-5M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.2M-5.4M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.1%

5.2M-5.4M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.4M-5.6M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.1%

5.4M-5.6M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.6M+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.6%

Bid 17.6% · Ask 37.6%

5.6M+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5M-5.2M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 10.8%

5M-5.2M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 3.80M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 3.80M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.10M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 94.0%

Above 4.10M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.40M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 83.0%

Above 4.40M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.70M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0%

Above 4.70M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 5.00M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 54.0%

Above 5.00M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 5.30M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0%

Above 5.30M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 5.60M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 28.0%

Above 5.60M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 5.90M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 19.0%

Above 5.90M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6.10M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 17.0%

Above 6.10M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6.40M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 13.0%

Above 6.40M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6.70M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.0%

Above 6.70M

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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