Market comparison

Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $29K reported volume

Observed 13s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 13s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
4.2M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.6% Bid 10.5% · Ask 18.7% <4.2M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.2M-4.4M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.5% 4.2M-4.4M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.4M-4.6M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0% 4.4M-4.6M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.6M-4.8M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 29.4% · Ask 30.6% 4.6M-4.8M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.8M-5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0% 4.8M-5M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.2M-5.4M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.4% 5.2M-5.4M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.4M-5.6M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.0% 5.4M-5.6M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.6M+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.6% Bid 19.7% · Ask 23.6% 5.6M+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5M-5.2M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.6% Bid 4.2% · Ask 11.0% 5M-5.2M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above 3.80M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 3.80M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.10M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 93.0% Above 4.10M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.40M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 82.0% Above 4.40M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.70M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	61.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 67.0% Above 4.70M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 5.00M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	46.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 46.0% Above 5.00M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 5.30M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 31.0% Above 5.30M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 5.60M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 27.0% Above 5.60M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 5.90M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 16.0% Above 5.90M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.10M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 16.0% Above 6.10M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.40M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 12.0% Above 6.40M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.70M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.0% Above 6.70M Open Kalshi ↗	—

4.2M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.6%

Bid 10.5% · Ask 18.7%

<4.2M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.2M-4.4M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.5%

4.2M-4.4M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.4M-4.6M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

4.4M-4.6M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.6M-4.8M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 29.4% · Ask 30.6%

4.6M-4.8M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.8M-5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0%

4.8M-5M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.2M-5.4M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.4%

5.2M-5.4M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.4M-5.6M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.0%

5.4M-5.6M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.6M+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.6%

Bid 19.7% · Ask 23.6%

5.6M+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5M-5.2M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.6%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 11.0%

5M-5.2M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 3.80M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 3.80M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.10M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 93.0%

Above 4.10M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.40M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 82.0%

Above 4.40M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.70M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 67.0%

Above 4.70M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 5.00M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 46.0%

Above 5.00M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 5.30M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 31.0%

Above 5.30M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 5.60M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 27.0%

Above 5.60M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 5.90M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 16.0%

Above 5.90M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6.10M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 16.0%

Above 6.10M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6.40M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 12.0%

Above 6.40M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6.70M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.0%

Above 6.70M

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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