Market comparison

Michigan's 7th District margin of victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 26s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $27K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Observed 26s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Michigan's 7th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Barrett, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 26.0% Barrett, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barrett, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 25.0% Barrett, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barrett, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 6.1% · Ask 14.0% Barrett, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barrett, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9% Barrett, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.5% Bid 27.0% · Ask 30.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.9% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.7% Bid 8.8% · Ask 12.6% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 1.2% · Ask 4.3% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.4% Bid 8.6% · Ask 12.2% Democrat 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.9% Republican 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Lawrence, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	69.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 74.0% Lawrence, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lawrence, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	55.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 59.0% Lawrence, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lawrence, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 42.0% Lawrence, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lawrence, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 25.0% Lawrence, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lawrence, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.3% Bid 5.6% · Ask 17.0% Lawrence, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lawrence, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 0.2% · Ask 11.0% Lawrence, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.3% Bid 17.5% · Ask 21.1% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.6% Bid 6.3% · Ask 10.8% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.4% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.7% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Barrett, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 26.0%

Barrett, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barrett, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 25.0%

Barrett, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barrett, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 6.1% · Ask 14.0%

Barrett, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barrett, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Barrett, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 30.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.9%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.7%

Bid 8.8% · Ask 12.6%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 4.3%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.4%

Bid 8.6% · Ask 12.2%

Democrat 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.9%

Republican 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lawrence, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 74.0%

Lawrence, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lawrence, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 59.0%

Lawrence, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lawrence, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 42.0%

Lawrence, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lawrence, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 25.0%

Lawrence, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lawrence, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.3%

Bid 5.6% · Ask 17.0%

Lawrence, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lawrence, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 11.0%

Lawrence, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.3%

Bid 17.5% · Ask 21.1%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.6%

Bid 6.3% · Ask 10.8%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.7%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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