Market comparison

Michigan's 8th District margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $10K reported volume

Observed 9m ago

Observed 31s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Michigan's 8th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 2.5% · Ask 4.3% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 1.2% · Ask 4.9% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 16.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.6% Bid 1.6% · Ask 7.6% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0% Democrat 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.9% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Rivet, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.2% Bid 92.2% · Ask 96.1% Rivet, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rivet, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.0% Bid 90.1% · Ask 96.0% Rivet, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rivet, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.0% Bid 85.0% · Ask 95.8% Rivet, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rivet, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	77.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 77.0% Rivet, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rivet, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	72.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 75.0% Rivet, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rivet, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 60.0% Rivet, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rivet, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 44.0% Rivet, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rivet, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 30.0% Rivet, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rivet, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 19.0% Rivet, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Smith, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.7% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.7% Smith, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 4.3%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 4.9%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 16.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.6%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 7.6%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0%

Democrat 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.9%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Rivet, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.2%

Bid 92.2% · Ask 96.1%

Rivet, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rivet, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 90.1% · Ask 96.0%

Rivet, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rivet, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 95.8%

Rivet, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rivet, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 77.0%

Rivet, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rivet, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 75.0%

Rivet, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rivet, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 60.0%

Rivet, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rivet, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 44.0%

Rivet, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rivet, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 30.0%

Rivet, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rivet, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 19.0%

Rivet, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Smith, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.7%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.7%

Smith, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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