Market comparison

Minnesota's 1st District margin of victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $22K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Minnesota's 1st District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.6% Bid 17.8% · Ask 19.3% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.3% Bid 6.4% · Ask 10.2% Democrat 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Finstad, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	63.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 63.0% Finstad, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Finstad, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 44.0% Finstad, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Finstad, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 26.0% Finstad, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Finstad, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 3.5% · Ask 14.0% Finstad, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Finstad, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.1% Finstad, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Finstad, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.6% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.8% Finstad, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Finstad, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.2% Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.2% Finstad, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Johnson, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 37.0% Johnson, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Johnson, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 28.0% Johnson, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Johnson, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 16.0% Johnson, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 25.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 5.1% · Ask 10.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.4% Bid 13.1% · Ask 13.6% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 0.7% · Ask 7.1% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.6% Bid 0.6% · Ask 6.7% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 9.7% · Ask 16.2% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.1% Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.4% Republican 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.6%

Bid 17.8% · Ask 19.3%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.3%

Bid 6.4% · Ask 10.2%

Democrat 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Finstad, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 63.0%

Finstad, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Finstad, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 44.0%

Finstad, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Finstad, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 26.0%

Finstad, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Finstad, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 3.5% · Ask 14.0%

Finstad, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Finstad, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.1%

Finstad, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Finstad, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.6%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.8%

Finstad, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Finstad, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.2%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.2%

Finstad, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Johnson, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 37.0%

Johnson, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Johnson, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 28.0%

Johnson, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Johnson, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 16.0%

Johnson, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 5.1% · Ask 10.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.4%

Bid 13.1% · Ask 13.6%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 7.1%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 6.7%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 9.7% · Ask 16.2%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.4%

Republican 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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