Market comparison

Minnesota's 2nd District margin of victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $23K reported volume

Observed 30s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $13K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Minnesota's 2nd District margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.2% Bid 0.9% · Ask 19.4% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 24.0% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 23.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 26.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 21.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.1% Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.5% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.4% Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.9% Democrat 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Little, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	95.6% Bid 86.0% · Ask 95.6% Little, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Little, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	87.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 87.0% Little, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Little, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	72.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 79.0% Little, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Little, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	58.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 67.0% Little, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Little, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	51.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 51.0% Little, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Little, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 35.0% Little, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Little, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0% Little, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Little, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 9.7% · Ask 20.0% Little, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Little, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.7% Bid 1.8% · Ask 13.0% Little, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.8% Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.6% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.2%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 19.4%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 24.0%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 23.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 26.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 21.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.5%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.9%

Democrat 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Little, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

95.6%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 95.6%

Little, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Little, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 87.0%

Little, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Little, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 79.0%

Little, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Little, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 67.0%

Little, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Little, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 51.0%

Little, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Little, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 35.0%

Little, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Little, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0%

Little, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Little, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 9.7% · Ask 20.0%

Little, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Little, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.7%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 13.0%

Little, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.6%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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