Market comparison

Minnesota's 4th District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $13K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Minnesota's 4th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.4% Democrat 0-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Democrat 20-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 2.3% · Ask 5.5% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.2% Bid 9.3% · Ask 13.1% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.4% Bid 20.4% · Ask 20.5% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.6% Bid 24.3% · Ask 26.9% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.6% Bid 6.8% · Ask 22.4% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.4% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 1.4% · Ask 14.6% Democrat 60%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
McCollum, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 83.0% · Ask 94.4% McCollum, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McCollum, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	79.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 85.0% McCollum, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McCollum, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	69.5% Bid 64.0% · Ask 75.0% McCollum, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McCollum, 39+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	64.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 66.0% McCollum, 39+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McCollum, 42+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	47.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 54.0% McCollum, 42+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McCollum, 45+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	36.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 43.0% McCollum, 45+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McCollum, 48+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.5% Bid 24.0% · Ask 33.0% McCollum, 48+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McCollum, 51+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 23.0% McCollum, 51+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McCollum, 54+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 13.0% McCollum, 54+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.4%

Democrat 0-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Democrat 20-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 5.5%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.2%

Bid 9.3% · Ask 13.1%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.4%

Bid 20.4% · Ask 20.5%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.6%

Bid 24.3% · Ask 26.9%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.6%

Bid 6.8% · Ask 22.4%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.4%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 14.6%

Democrat 60%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

McCollum, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 94.4%

McCollum, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McCollum, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

79.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 85.0%

McCollum, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McCollum, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

69.5%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 75.0%

McCollum, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McCollum, 39+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 66.0%

McCollum, 39+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McCollum, 42+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 54.0%

McCollum, 42+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McCollum, 45+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 43.0%

McCollum, 45+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McCollum, 48+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

28.5%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 33.0%

McCollum, 48+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McCollum, 51+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 23.0%

McCollum, 51+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McCollum, 54+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 13.0%

McCollum, 54+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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