Market comparison

Minnesota's 5th District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $27K reported volume

Observed 25s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Minnesota's 5th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.3% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.2% Democrat 0-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.2% Democrat 35-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.2% Bid 1.1% · Ask 17.3% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.9% Bid 12.1% · Ask 13.7% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 29.0% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60-65% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0% Democrat 60-65% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 65-70% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.8% Bid 1.3% · Ask 14.3% Democrat 65-70% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 70-75% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 2.1% · Ask 3.0% Democrat 70-75% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 75%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.3% Bid 1.6% · Ask 11.0% Democrat 75%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Omar, 47+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 4.9% · Ask 88.0% Omar, 47+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Omar, 50+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	71.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 75.0% Omar, 50+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Omar, 53+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 75.0% Omar, 53+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Omar, 56+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 66.0% Omar, 56+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Omar, 59+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 86.0% Omar, 59+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Omar, 62+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 83.0% Omar, 62+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Omar, 65+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 66.0% Omar, 65+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Omar, 68+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 66.0% Omar, 68+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Omar, 71+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 18.0% Omar, 71+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.8% Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.8% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.2%

Democrat 0-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.2%

Democrat 35-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.2%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 17.3%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.9%

Bid 12.1% · Ask 13.7%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 29.0%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60-65%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0%

Democrat 60-65%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 65-70%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.8%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 14.3%

Democrat 65-70%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 70-75%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 3.0%

Democrat 70-75%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 75%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 11.0%

Democrat 75%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Omar, 47+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 4.9% · Ask 88.0%

Omar, 47+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Omar, 50+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 75.0%

Omar, 50+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Omar, 53+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 75.0%

Omar, 53+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Omar, 56+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 66.0%

Omar, 56+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Omar, 59+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 86.0%

Omar, 59+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Omar, 62+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 83.0%

Omar, 62+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Omar, 65+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 66.0%

Omar, 65+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Omar, 68+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 66.0%

Omar, 68+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Omar, 71+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 18.0%

Omar, 71+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.8%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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