Market comparison

Minnesota's 6th District margin of victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $15K reported volume

Observed 11s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Minnesota's 6th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 0.8% · Ask 3.3% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Emmer, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 95.9% Emmer, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Emmer, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	77.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 77.0% Emmer, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Emmer, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	69.0% Bid 65.0% · Ask 77.0% Emmer, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Emmer, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	63.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 63.0% Emmer, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Emmer, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	48.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 48.0% Emmer, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Emmer, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 34.0% Emmer, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Emmer, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0% Emmer, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Emmer, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.3% Bid 2.7% · Ask 14.0% Emmer, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Emmer, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.8% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.8% Emmer, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.4% Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.4% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 27.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 32.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 11.4% · Ask 21.6% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.6% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.3% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.1% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 3.3%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Emmer, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 95.9%

Emmer, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Emmer, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 77.0%

Emmer, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Emmer, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 77.0%

Emmer, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Emmer, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 63.0%

Emmer, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Emmer, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

48.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 48.0%

Emmer, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Emmer, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 34.0%

Emmer, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Emmer, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0%

Emmer, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Emmer, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.3%

Bid 2.7% · Ask 14.0%

Emmer, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Emmer, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.8%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.8%

Emmer, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.4%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 27.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 32.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 11.4% · Ask 21.6%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.3%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.1%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets