Market comparison

Mississauga Mayoral Election Winner

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 4 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

27 outcomes · $38K reported volume

Observed 21s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 26, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Generic non-US election template: rules are not uniform across events and need a per-event rules comparison before parity can be claimed.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Mississauga Mayoral Election Winner
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Alvin Tedjo Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	20.6% Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.3% Alvin Tedjo Open Polymarket ↗	20.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 24.0% Alvin Tedjo Open Kalshi ↗	0.6 pp
Bonnie Crombie Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	53.5% Bid 51.0% · Ask 56.0% Bonnie Crombie Open Polymarket ↗	51.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 57.0% Bonnie Crombie Open Kalshi ↗	2.5 pp
Carolyn Parrish Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	23.5% Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0% Carolyn Parrish Open Polymarket ↗	27.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 27.0% Carolyn Parrish Open Kalshi ↗	3.5 pp
Dipika Damerla Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	0.5% Bid — · Ask 1.0% Dipika Damerla Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Dipika Damerla Open Kalshi ↗	1.5 pp
Aamir Bhatti Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Aamir Bhatti Open Kalshi ↗	—
Amjad Jilani Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Amjad Jilani Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ana Luisa Vasquez De Espinal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Ana Luisa Vasquez De Espinal Open Kalshi ↗	—
David Shaw Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% David Shaw Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fadi Naami Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Fadi Naami Open Kalshi ↗	—
Frank Fang Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Frank Fang Open Kalshi ↗	—
George Tavares Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% George Tavares Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gord Elliott Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Gord Elliott Open Kalshi ↗	—
Karam Ahmed Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Karam Ahmed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mike Matulewicz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Mike Matulewicz Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mohsin Khan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Mohsin Khan Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rahul Mehta Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Rahul Mehta Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Zulfiqar Ali Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Zulfiqar Ali Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Alvin Tedjo

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

20.6%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.3%

Alvin Tedjo

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 24.0%

Alvin Tedjo

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.6 pp

Bonnie Crombie

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

53.5%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 56.0%

Bonnie Crombie

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 57.0%

Bonnie Crombie

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Carolyn Parrish

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0%

Carolyn Parrish

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 27.0%

Carolyn Parrish

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Dipika Damerla

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Dipika Damerla

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Dipika Damerla

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Aamir Bhatti

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Aamir Bhatti

Open Kalshi ↗

Amjad Jilani

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Amjad Jilani

Open Kalshi ↗

Ana Luisa Vasquez De Espinal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Ana Luisa Vasquez De Espinal

Open Kalshi ↗

David Shaw

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

David Shaw

Open Kalshi ↗

Fadi Naami

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Fadi Naami

Open Kalshi ↗

Frank Fang

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Frank Fang

Open Kalshi ↗

George Tavares

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

George Tavares

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Gord Elliott

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Gord Elliott

Open Kalshi ↗

Karam Ahmed

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Karam Ahmed

Open Kalshi ↗

Mike Matulewicz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Mike Matulewicz

Open Kalshi ↗

Mohsin Khan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Mohsin Khan

Open Kalshi ↗

Rahul Mehta

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Rahul Mehta

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Zulfiqar Ali

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Zulfiqar Ali

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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