Market comparison

Missouri's 2nd District margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $22K reported volume

Observed 34s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 34s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Missouri's 2nd District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.2% Bid 8.3% · Ask 14.1% Democrat 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.4% Bid 8.0% · Ask 28.9% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 20.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.8% Bid 1.5% · Ask 20.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.2% Bid 1.9% · Ask 20.5% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 4.1% Republican 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republicans, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	64.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 64.0% Republicans, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 53.0% Republicans, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 40.0% Republicans, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 28.0% Republicans, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 7.9% · Ask 18.0% Republicans, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.0% Republicans, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 8.6% Republicans, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Republicans, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.2%

Bid 8.3% · Ask 14.1%

Democrat 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.4%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 28.9%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 20.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.8%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 20.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.2%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 20.5%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 4.1%

Republican 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republicans, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 64.0%

Republicans, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 53.0%

Republicans, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 40.0%

Republicans, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 28.0%

Republicans, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 7.9% · Ask 18.0%

Republicans, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.0%

Republicans, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 8.6%

Republicans, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Republicans, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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