Market comparison

Missouri's 4th District margin of victory

2 venues · 22 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 41s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Missouri's 4th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 3.4% · Ask 3.5% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.2% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.1% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 2.3% · Ask 8.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 19.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	55.1% Bid 53.2% · Ask 57.1% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republicans, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.9% Bid 93.9% · Ask 95.9% Republicans, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.8% Bid 93.5% · Ask 95.9% Republicans, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.6% Bid 92.6% · Ask 95.9% Republicans, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.0% Bid 90.7% · Ask 95.9% Republicans, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 95.9% Republicans, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.9% Republicans, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 81.0% Republicans, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	60.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 69.0% Republicans, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	54.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 54.0% Republicans, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 39.0% Republicans, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 27.0% Republicans, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 38+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.3% Bid 6.6% · Ask 18.0% Republicans, 38+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 41+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.6% Bid 1.1% · Ask 12.0% Republicans, 41+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republicans, 44+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.8% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.5% Republicans, 44+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 3.5%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.2%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.1%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 8.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 19.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

55.1%

Bid 53.2% · Ask 57.1%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republicans, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.9%

Bid 93.9% · Ask 95.9%

Republicans, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.8%

Bid 93.5% · Ask 95.9%

Republicans, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.6%

Bid 92.6% · Ask 95.9%

Republicans, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 90.7% · Ask 95.9%

Republicans, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 95.9%

Republicans, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.9%

Republicans, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 81.0%

Republicans, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 69.0%

Republicans, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

54.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 54.0%

Republicans, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 39.0%

Republicans, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 27.0%

Republicans, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.3%

Bid 6.6% · Ask 18.0%

Republicans, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 41+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.6%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 12.0%

Republicans, 41+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 44+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.8%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.5%

Republicans, 44+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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