Market comparison

Montana Senate margin of victory

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $24K reported volume

Observed 40s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 40s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Montana Senate margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Alme, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 96.0% Alme, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alme, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 80.0% Alme, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alme, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 51.0% Alme, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alme, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 39.0% Alme, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alme, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0% Alme, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alme, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.9% Alme, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alme, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.6% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.6% Alme, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alme, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Alme, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alme, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Alme, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alme, 40+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Alme, 40+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Independent 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.6% Bid 5.2% · Ask 10.1% Independent 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Independent 3%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.2% Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.7% Independent 3%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.4% Bid 0.9% · Ask 11.9% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 14.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.1% Bid 8.6% · Ask 23.6% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.8% Bid 14.1% · Ask 15.4% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18-21% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 14.0% Republican 18-21% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 21%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.6% Republican 21%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Alme, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 96.0%

Alme, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Alme, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 80.0%

Alme, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Alme, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 51.0%

Alme, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Alme, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 39.0%

Alme, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Alme, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0%

Alme, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Alme, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.9%

Alme, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Alme, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.6%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.6%

Alme, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Alme, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Alme, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Alme, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Alme, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Alme, 40+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Alme, 40+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Independent 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.6%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 10.1%

Independent 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Independent 3%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.2%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.7%

Independent 3%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.4%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 11.9%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 14.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.1%

Bid 8.6% · Ask 23.6%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.8%

Bid 14.1% · Ask 15.4%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18-21%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 14.0%

Republican 18-21%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 21%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.6%

Republican 21%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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