Market comparison

Montana's 1st District margin of victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 45s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $15K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Montana's 1st District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 36.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 15.1% · Ask 17.9% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 22.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Flint, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 54.0% Flint, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flint, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	36.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 42.0% Flint, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flint, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 26.0% Flint, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flint, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 1.9% · Ask 13.0% Flint, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flint, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 8.0% Flint, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flint, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.6% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.6% Flint, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Forstag, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 44.0% Forstag, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Forstag, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 35.0% Forstag, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Forstag, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 8.2% · Ask 20.0% Forstag, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Forstag, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0% Forstag, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.1% Bid 5.7% · Ask 12.5% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.9% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.8% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 0.6% · Ask 2.7% Democrat 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8% Republican 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 36.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 15.1% · Ask 17.9%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 22.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Flint, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 54.0%

Flint, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Flint, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 42.0%

Flint, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Flint, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 26.0%

Flint, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Flint, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 13.0%

Flint, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Flint, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 8.0%

Flint, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Flint, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.6%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.6%

Flint, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Forstag, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 44.0%

Forstag, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Forstag, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 35.0%

Forstag, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Forstag, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 8.2% · Ask 20.0%

Forstag, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Forstag, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0%

Forstag, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.1%

Bid 5.7% · Ask 12.5%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.9%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.8%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 2.7%

Democrat 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8%

Republican 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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