Market comparison

Mortgage delinquency rate exceeds 3% by end of Q4 2027?

2 venues · 14 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 48s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 30, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

1 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 1, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Mortgage delinquency rate exceeds 3% by end of Q4 2027?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Above 6.00% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	67.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 76.0% Above 6.00% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 6.25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	65.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 6.25% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 6.50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	63.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 6.50% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 6.75% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 6.75% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 7.00% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 7.00% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 7.25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 7.25% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 7.50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 7.50% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 7.75% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 7.75% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 8.00% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 8.00% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 8.25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 8.25% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 8.50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 8.50% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 8.75% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 8.75% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 9.00% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 9.00% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Yes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 72.0% Yes Open Polymarket ↗	—

Above 6.00%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 76.0%

Above 6.00%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 6.25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 6.25%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 6.50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 6.50%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 6.75%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 6.75%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 7.00%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 7.00%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 7.25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 7.25%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 7.50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 7.50%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 7.75%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 7.75%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 8.00%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 8.00%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 8.25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 8.25%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 8.50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 8.50%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 8.75%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 8.75%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 9.00%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 9.00%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

41.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 72.0%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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