Market comparison

NBA: 2026-27 Defensive Player of the Year

2 venues · 84 outcome rows · 47 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

48 outcomes · $66K reported volume

Observed 19s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 30, 2028

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

110 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for NBA: 2026-27 Defensive Player of the Year
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Alex Caruso Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Alex Caruso Open Kalshi ↗	2.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.7% Alex Caruso Open Polymarket ↗	2.4 pp
Alex Sarr Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Alex Sarr Open Kalshi ↗	2.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.2% Alex Sarr Open Polymarket ↗	1.1 pp
Amen Thompson Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Amen Thompson Open Kalshi ↗	2.7% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.3% Amen Thompson Open Polymarket ↗	0.7 pp
Anthony Davis Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Anthony Davis Open Kalshi ↗	2.8% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.4% Anthony Davis Open Polymarket ↗	1.8 pp
Ausar Thompson Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	11.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0% Ausar Thompson Open Kalshi ↗	6.3% Bid 5.1% · Ask 7.5% Ausar Thompson Open Polymarket ↗	4.7 pp
Bam Adebayo Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Bam Adebayo Open Kalshi ↗	2.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.8% Bam Adebayo Open Polymarket ↗	0.5 pp
Chet Holmgren Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	8.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0% Chet Holmgren Open Kalshi ↗	6.7% Bid 0.3% · Ask 13.1% Chet Holmgren Open Polymarket ↗	1.3 pp
Cooper Flagg Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Cooper Flagg Open Kalshi ↗	2.8% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.4% Cooper Flagg Open Polymarket ↗	1.8 pp
Daniel Gafford Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Daniel Gafford Open Kalshi ↗	2.8% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.4% Daniel Gafford Open Polymarket ↗	2.3 pp
Derrick White Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Derrick White Open Kalshi ↗	2.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.2% Derrick White Open Polymarket ↗	1.6 pp
Dillon Brooks Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Dillon Brooks Open Kalshi ↗	5.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 10.0% Dillon Brooks Open Polymarket ↗	4.6 pp
Donovan Clingan Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Donovan Clingan Open Kalshi ↗	4.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.0% Donovan Clingan Open Polymarket ↗	3.5 pp
Draymond Green Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Draymond Green Open Kalshi ↗	2.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.7% Draymond Green Open Polymarket ↗	2.4 pp
Dyson Daniels Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	8.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 12.0% Dyson Daniels Open Kalshi ↗	2.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.7% Dyson Daniels Open Polymarket ↗	5.1 pp
Evan Mobley Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Evan Mobley Open Kalshi ↗	2.8% Bid 0.2% · Ask 5.4% Evan Mobley Open Polymarket ↗	0.8 pp
Giannis Antetokounmpo Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Giannis Antetokounmpo Open Kalshi ↗	2.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.2% Giannis Antetokounmpo Open Polymarket ↗	1.1 pp
Herbert Jones Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Herbert Jones Open Kalshi ↗	2.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.2% Herbert Jones Open Polymarket ↗	1.6 pp
Isaiah Hartenstein Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Isaiah Hartenstein Open Kalshi ↗	3.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.9% Isaiah Hartenstein Open Polymarket ↗	2.5 pp
Ivica Zubac Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Ivica Zubac Open Kalshi ↗	4.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.0% Ivica Zubac Open Polymarket ↗	3.6 pp
Jaden McDaniels Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jaden McDaniels Open Kalshi ↗	2.7% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.3% Jaden McDaniels Open Polymarket ↗	1.7 pp
Jalen Suggs Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jalen Suggs Open Kalshi ↗	2.7% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.3% Jalen Suggs Open Polymarket ↗	2.2 pp
Jalen Williams Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jalen Williams Open Kalshi ↗	2.7% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.3% Jalen Williams Open Polymarket ↗	1.7 pp
Jaren Jackson Jr. Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Jaren Jackson Jr. Open Kalshi ↗	3.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.0% Jaren Jackson Jr. Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Jaylen Brown Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jaylen Brown Open Kalshi ↗	4.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.3% Jaylen Brown Open Polymarket ↗	3.2 pp
Jayson Tatum Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jayson Tatum Open Kalshi ↗	2.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.1% Jayson Tatum Open Polymarket ↗	1.6 pp
Jimmy Butler Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jimmy Butler Open Kalshi ↗	2.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.7% Jimmy Butler III Open Polymarket ↗	2.4 pp
Jrue Holiday Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jrue Holiday Open Kalshi ↗	2.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.7% Jrue Holiday Open Polymarket ↗	2.4 pp
Kawhi Leonard Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Kawhi Leonard Open Kalshi ↗	2.8% Bid 0.2% · Ask 5.3% Kawhi Leonard Open Polymarket ↗	2.3 pp
Kristaps Porzingis Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Kristaps Porzingis Open Kalshi ↗	2.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.1% Kristaps Porzingis Open Polymarket ↗	1.6 pp
LeBron James Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% LeBron James Open Kalshi ↗	2.2% Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.2% LeBron James Open Polymarket ↗	1.2 pp
Luguentz Dort Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Luguentz Dort Open Kalshi ↗	2.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.7% Luguentz Dort Open Polymarket ↗	1.9 pp
Marcus Smart Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Marcus Smart Open Kalshi ↗	2.7% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.3% Marcus Smart Open Polymarket ↗	2.2 pp
Mikal Bridges Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Mikal Bridges Open Kalshi ↗	2.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.1% Mikal Bridges Open Polymarket ↗	1.6 pp
Mitchell Robinson Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Mitchell Robinson Open Kalshi ↗	2.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.1% Mitchell Robinson Open Polymarket ↗	1.6 pp
Myles Turner Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Myles Turner Open Kalshi ↗	2.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.9% Myles Turner Open Polymarket ↗	1.5 pp
OG Anunoby Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% OG Anunoby Open Kalshi ↗	3.0% Bid 0.2% · Ask 5.8% OG Anunoby Open Polymarket ↗	2.0 pp
Paolo Banchero Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Paolo Banchero Open Kalshi ↗	2.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.1% Paolo Banchero Open Polymarket ↗	1.6 pp
Rudy Gobert Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Rudy Gobert Open Kalshi ↗	2.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.8% Rudy Gobert Open Polymarket ↗	0.5 pp
Ryan Kalkbrenner Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Ryan Kalkbrenner Open Kalshi ↗	2.7% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.3% Ryan Kalkbrenner Open Polymarket ↗	2.2 pp
Scottie Barnes Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Scottie Barnes Open Kalshi ↗	2.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.8% Scottie Barnes Open Polymarket ↗	0.5 pp
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Open Kalshi ↗	10.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 21.7% Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Open Polymarket ↗	10.4 pp
Tari Eason Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Tari Eason Open Kalshi ↗	2.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.7% Tari Eason Open Polymarket ↗	2.4 pp
Toumani Camara Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Toumani Camara Open Kalshi ↗	2.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.0% Toumani Camara Open Polymarket ↗	1.6 pp
Victor Wembanyama Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	74.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 74.0% Victor Wembanyama Open Kalshi ↗	74.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 74.9% Victor Wembanyama Open Polymarket ↗	0.0 pp
Walker Kessler Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Walker Kessler Open Kalshi ↗	2.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 5.0% Walker Kessler Open Polymarket ↗	1.4 pp
Wendell Carter Jr. Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Wendell Carter Jr. Open Kalshi ↗	2.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.0% Wendell Carter Jr. Open Polymarket ↗	2.0 pp
Zach Edey Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Zach Edey Open Kalshi ↗	2.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.7% Zach Edey Open Polymarket ↗	0.5 pp
Player A Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AN · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AA · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AB Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AB · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AC · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AD Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AD · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AE Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AE · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AF · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AG Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AG · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AH Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AH · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AI · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AJ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AJ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AK Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AK · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AL Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AL · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AM · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AO Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AO · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AP Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AP · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AQ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AQ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AR Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AR · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AS Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AS · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AT Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AT · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AU Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AU · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AV Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AV · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AW Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AW · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AX Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AX · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AY Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AY · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AZ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AZ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player BA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player BA · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player BB Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player BB · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player BC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player BC · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player BD Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player BD · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player BE Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player BE · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player BF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player BF · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player BG Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player BG · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player BH Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player BH · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player BI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player BI · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player BJ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player BJ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tie/Co-Winners Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Tie/Co-Winners Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Alex Caruso

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Alex Caruso

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.7%

Alex Caruso

NBA: 2026-27 Defensive Player of the Year

Kalshi

Polymarket

Known rule differences between venues

Alex Caruso

Kalshi

Polymarket

Alex Sarr

Kalshi

Polymarket

Amen Thompson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Anthony Davis

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ausar Thompson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bam Adebayo

Kalshi

Polymarket

Chet Holmgren

Kalshi

Polymarket

Cooper Flagg

Kalshi

Polymarket

Daniel Gafford

Kalshi

Polymarket

Derrick White

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dillon Brooks

Kalshi

Polymarket

Donovan Clingan

Kalshi

Polymarket

Draymond Green

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dyson Daniels

Kalshi

Polymarket

Evan Mobley

Kalshi

Polymarket

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Kalshi

Polymarket

Herbert Jones

Kalshi

Polymarket

Isaiah Hartenstein

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ivica Zubac

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jaden McDaniels

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jalen Suggs

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jalen Williams

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jaylen Brown

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jayson Tatum

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jimmy Butler