Market comparison

Nevada Governor margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $50K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Observed 24s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 6m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Nevada Governor margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Ford 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0% Ford 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ford 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.7% Bid 18.6% · Ask 20.8% Ford 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ford 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.5% Bid 6.2% · Ask 8.8% Ford 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ford 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.1% Ford 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ford 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.2% Bid 7.0% · Ask 7.4% Ford 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ford, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	59.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 60.0% Ford, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ford, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 39.0% Ford, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ford, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0% Ford, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ford, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.8% Ford, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lombardo 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0% Lombardo 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lombardo 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.9% Bid 16.7% · Ask 17.0% Lombardo 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lombardo 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Lombardo 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lombardo 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.3% Bid 0.8% · Ask 3.8% Lombardo 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lombardo 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.8% Lombardo 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lombardo, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 27.0% Lombardo, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lombardo, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 8.1% · Ask 14.0% Lombardo, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lombardo, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0% Lombardo, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lombardo, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.8% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.8% Lombardo, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lombardo, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.2% Lombardo, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Ford 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0%

Ford 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Ford 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

19.7%

Bid 18.6% · Ask 20.8%

Ford 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Ford 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.2% · Ask 8.8%

Ford 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Ford 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.1%

Ford 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Ford 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.2%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 7.4%

Ford 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Ford, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 60.0%

Ford, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ford, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 39.0%

Ford, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ford, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

Ford, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ford, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.8%

Ford, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lombardo 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0%

Lombardo 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Lombardo 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

16.9%

Bid 16.7% · Ask 17.0%

Lombardo 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Lombardo 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

Lombardo 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Lombardo 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 3.8%

Lombardo 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Lombardo 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.8%

Lombardo 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Lombardo, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 27.0%

Lombardo, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lombardo, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 8.1% · Ask 14.0%

Lombardo, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lombardo, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0%

Lombardo, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lombardo, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.8%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.8%

Lombardo, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lombardo, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.2%

Lombardo, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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