Market comparison

Nevada's 1st District margin of victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Nevada's 1st District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 32.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 34.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 14.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.5% Democrat 25%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.8% Bid 0.6% · Ask 9.0% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.2% Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.8% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 0.5% · Ask 6.4% Republican 5%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Titus, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 85.0% · Ask 86.0% Titus, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Titus, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 85.0% Titus, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Titus, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	71.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 82.0% Titus, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Titus, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	65.5% Bid 60.0% · Ask 71.0% Titus, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Titus, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	51.5% Bid 46.0% · Ask 57.0% Titus, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Titus, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 43.0% Titus, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Titus, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 30.0% Titus, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Titus, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 8.5% · Ask 19.0% Titus, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Titus, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.1% Bid 1.3% · Ask 12.0% Titus, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 32.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 34.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 14.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.5%

Democrat 25%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 9.0%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.2%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.8%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 6.4%

Republican 5%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Titus, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 86.0%

Titus, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Titus, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 85.0%

Titus, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Titus, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 82.0%

Titus, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Titus, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

65.5%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 71.0%

Titus, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Titus, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

51.5%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 57.0%

Titus, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Titus, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 43.0%

Titus, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Titus, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 30.0%

Titus, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Titus, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 8.5% · Ask 19.0%

Titus, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Titus, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.1%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 12.0%

Titus, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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