Market comparison

New Hampshire Governor margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 24s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $13K reported volume

Observed 24s ago

Observed 8m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for New Hampshire Governor margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Ayotte 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.7% Ayotte 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ayotte 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Ayotte 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ayotte 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% Ayotte 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ayotte 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% Ayotte 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ayotte 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.5% Bid 25.0% · Ask 26.0% Ayotte 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ayotte 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.5% Bid 10.2% · Ask 10.9% Ayotte 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ayotte 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.1% Bid 9.6% · Ask 10.5% Ayotte 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ayotte, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.3% Bid 85.0% · Ask 94.3% Ayotte, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ayotte, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	79.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 84.0% Ayotte, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ayotte, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 66.0% Ayotte, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ayotte, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	46.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 46.0% Ayotte, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ayotte, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 29.0% Ayotte, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ayotte, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 6.3% · Ask 15.0% Ayotte, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ayotte, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.8% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.8% Ayotte, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ayotte, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.9% Ayotte, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Warmington 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.9% Warmington 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Warmington 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.6% Warmington 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Warmington 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.1% Warmington 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Warmington, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1% Warmington, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Ayotte 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.7%

Ayotte 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ayotte 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Ayotte 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ayotte 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0%

Ayotte 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ayotte 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0%

Ayotte 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ayotte 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 26.0%

Ayotte 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ayotte 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 10.2% · Ask 10.9%

Ayotte 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ayotte 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.1%

Bid 9.6% · Ask 10.5%

Ayotte 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ayotte, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.3%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 94.3%

Ayotte, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ayotte, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

79.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 84.0%

Ayotte, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ayotte, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 66.0%

Ayotte, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ayotte, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 46.0%

Ayotte, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ayotte, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 29.0%

Ayotte, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ayotte, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 6.3% · Ask 15.0%

Ayotte, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ayotte, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.8%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.8%

Ayotte, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ayotte, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.9%

Ayotte, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Warmington 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.9%

Warmington 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Warmington 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.6%

Warmington 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Warmington 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.1%

Warmington 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Warmington, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1%

Warmington, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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