Market comparison

New Hampshire Senate margin of victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $60K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $15K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for New Hampshire Senate margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Pappas 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 9.5% · Ask 10.5% Pappas 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pappas 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% Pappas 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pappas 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0% Pappas 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pappas 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% Pappas 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pappas 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.7% Bid 15.1% · Ask 16.2% Pappas 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pappas 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.5% Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.4% Pappas 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pappas 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.2% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.3% Pappas 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pappas, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	88.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 89.0% Pappas, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pappas, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	77.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 79.0% Pappas, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pappas, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	65.0% Bid 65.0% · Ask 66.0% Pappas, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pappas, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	51.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 56.0% Pappas, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pappas, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	46.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 47.0% Pappas, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pappas, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 36.0% Pappas, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pappas, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 25.0% Pappas, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pappas, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 16.0% Pappas, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pappas, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 11.0% Pappas, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pappas, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 8.0% Pappas, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sununu 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Sununu 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sununu 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.5% Bid 0.8% · Ask 10.3% Sununu 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sununu 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.6% Bid 0.7% · Ask 8.5% Sununu 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—

Pappas 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid 9.5% · Ask 10.5%

Pappas 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Pappas 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0%

Pappas 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Pappas 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

20.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0%

Pappas 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Pappas 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0%

Pappas 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Pappas 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

15.7%

Bid 15.1% · Ask 16.2%

Pappas 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Pappas 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.4%

Pappas 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Pappas 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.3%

Pappas 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Pappas, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 89.0%

Pappas, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pappas, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 79.0%

Pappas, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pappas, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 66.0%

Pappas, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pappas, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 56.0%

Pappas, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pappas, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 47.0%

Pappas, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pappas, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 36.0%

Pappas, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pappas, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 25.0%

Pappas, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pappas, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 16.0%

Pappas, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pappas, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 11.0%

Pappas, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pappas, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 8.0%

Pappas, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sununu 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

Sununu 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Sununu 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 10.3%

Sununu 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Sununu 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.6%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 8.5%

Sununu 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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