Market comparison

New Jersey's 10th District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 10s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for New Jersey's 10th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.7% Democrat 0-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.3% Democrat 35-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 0.7% · Ask 2.6% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.2% Bid 9.8% · Ask 14.6% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 30.0% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60-65% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 31.0% Democrat 60-65% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 65-70% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.5% Bid 30.4% · Ask 34.5% Democrat 65-70% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 70-75% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.1% Bid 1.3% · Ask 6.9% Democrat 70-75% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 75%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.9% Democrat 75%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
McIver, 45+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.2% Bid 88.0% · Ask 98.2% McIver, 45+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McIver, 48+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.9% Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.7% McIver, 48+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McIver, 51+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.5% Bid 76.0% · Ask 87.0% McIver, 51+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McIver, 54+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	79.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 79.0% McIver, 54+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McIver, 57+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	64.5% Bid 59.0% · Ask 70.0% McIver, 57+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McIver, 60+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	52.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 59.0% McIver, 60+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McIver, 63+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.5% Bid 35.0% · Ask 46.0% McIver, 63+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McIver, 66+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.5% Bid 24.0% · Ask 35.0% McIver, 66+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McIver, 69+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% McIver, 69+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.6% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.7%

Democrat 0-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.3%

Democrat 35-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 2.6%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.2%

Bid 9.8% · Ask 14.6%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 30.0%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60-65%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 31.0%

Democrat 60-65%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 65-70%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.5%

Bid 30.4% · Ask 34.5%

Democrat 65-70%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 70-75%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 6.9%

Democrat 70-75%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 75%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.9%

Democrat 75%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

McIver, 45+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

98.2%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 98.2%

McIver, 45+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McIver, 48+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.9%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.7%

McIver, 48+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McIver, 51+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

81.5%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 87.0%

McIver, 51+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McIver, 54+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

79.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 79.0%

McIver, 54+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McIver, 57+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

64.5%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 70.0%

McIver, 57+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McIver, 60+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 59.0%

McIver, 60+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McIver, 63+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

40.5%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 46.0%

McIver, 63+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McIver, 66+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.5%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 35.0%

McIver, 66+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McIver, 69+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

McIver, 69+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.6%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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