Market comparison

New Mexico Governor margin of victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for New Mexico Governor margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 26.0% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	36.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 37.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 17.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.6% Bid 0.8% · Ask 12.3% Democrat 25%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Haaland, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.6% Bid 90.1% · Ask 91.6% Haaland, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Haaland, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.5% Bid 84.0% · Ask 91.5% Haaland, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Haaland, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	78.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 78.0% Haaland, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Haaland, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	60.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 62.0% Haaland, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Haaland, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	45.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 52.0% Haaland, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Haaland, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 40.0% Haaland, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Haaland, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 28.0% Haaland, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Haaland, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 20.0% Haaland, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Haaland, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.3% Bid 6.3% · Ask 13.0% Haaland, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.2% Bid 1.2% · Ask 9.2% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.6% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% Republican 5%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 26.0%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

36.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 37.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 17.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.6%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 12.3%

Democrat 25%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Haaland, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.6%

Bid 90.1% · Ask 91.6%

Haaland, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Haaland, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.5%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 91.5%

Haaland, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Haaland, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

78.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 78.0%

Haaland, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Haaland, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 62.0%

Haaland, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Haaland, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 52.0%

Haaland, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Haaland, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 40.0%

Haaland, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Haaland, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 28.0%

Haaland, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Haaland, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 20.0%

Haaland, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Haaland, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.3%

Bid 6.3% · Ask 13.0%

Haaland, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.2%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 9.2%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.6%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

Republican 5%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets