Market comparison

New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $23K reported volume

Observed 48s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $9K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.7% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.4% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.1% Bid 16.6% · Ask 21.6% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.1% Bid 8.1% · Ask 24.1% Democrat 25%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.9% Republican 5%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Vasquez, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 85.0% · Ask 91.0% Vasquez, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Vasquez, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	77.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 88.0% Vasquez, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Vasquez, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 77.0% Vasquez, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Vasquez, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 64.0% Vasquez, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Vasquez, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 42.0% Vasquez, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Vasquez, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0% Vasquez, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Vasquez, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 24.0% Vasquez, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Vasquez, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 4.2% · Ask 15.0% Vasquez, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Vasquez, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.8% Vasquez, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.7%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.4%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.1%

Bid 16.6% · Ask 21.6%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.1%

Bid 8.1% · Ask 24.1%

Democrat 25%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.9%

Republican 5%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Vasquez, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 91.0%

Vasquez, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Vasquez, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 88.0%

Vasquez, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Vasquez, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 77.0%

Vasquez, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Vasquez, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 64.0%

Vasquez, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Vasquez, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 42.0%

Vasquez, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Vasquez, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0%

Vasquez, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Vasquez, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 24.0%

Vasquez, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Vasquez, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 15.0%

Vasquez, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Vasquez, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.8%

Vasquez, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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