Market comparison

New York Governor margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $41K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for New York Governor margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.1% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.3% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.3% Bid 10.4% · Ask 12.3% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.0% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 2.5% · Ask 11.4% Democrat 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hochul, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	90.2% Bid 90.0% · Ask 93.0% Hochul, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hochul, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	83.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 87.0% Hochul, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hochul, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	75.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 79.0% Hochul, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hochul, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	59.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 62.0% Hochul, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hochul, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	41.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 48.0% Hochul, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hochul, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0% Hochul, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hochul, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 26.0% Hochul, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hochul, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.1% Bid 7.1% · Ask 18.0% Hochul, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hochul, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.7% Bid 3.9% · Ask 14.0% Hochul, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 2.1% · Ask 11.9% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.3%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

11.3%

Bid 10.4% · Ask 12.3%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.0%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 11.4%

Democrat 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Hochul, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

90.2%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 93.0%

Hochul, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hochul, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 87.0%

Hochul, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hochul, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 79.0%

Hochul, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hochul, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 62.0%

Hochul, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hochul, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 48.0%

Hochul, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hochul, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0%

Hochul, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hochul, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 26.0%

Hochul, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hochul, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.1%

Bid 7.1% · Ask 18.0%

Hochul, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hochul, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.7%

Bid 3.9% · Ask 14.0%

Hochul, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 11.9%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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