Market comparison

New York's 15th District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for New York's 15th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.5% Democrat 0-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 1.5% · Ask 5.3% Democrat 35-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.1% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.4% Bid 5.1% · Ask 11.7% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 21.0% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60-65% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 16.0% Democrat 60-65% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 65-70% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 32.0% Democrat 65-70% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 70-75% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0% Democrat 70-75% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 75%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.1% Democrat 75%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Torres, 49+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.2% Bid 93.2% · Ask 98.0% Torres, 49+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Torres, 52+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.3% Bid 91.4% · Ask 99.3% Torres, 52+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Torres, 55+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.8% Bid 87.0% · Ask 98.5% Torres, 55+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Torres, 58+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 89.0% Torres, 58+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Torres, 61+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	59.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 71.0% Torres, 61+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Torres, 64+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 49.0% Torres, 64+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Torres, 67+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0% Torres, 67+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Torres, 70+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 2.3% · Ask 14.0% Torres, 70+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Torres, 73+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.5% Torres, 73+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.5%

Democrat 0-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 5.3%

Democrat 35-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.1%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.4%

Bid 5.1% · Ask 11.7%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 21.0%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60-65%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 16.0%

Democrat 60-65%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 65-70%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 32.0%

Democrat 65-70%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 70-75%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0%

Democrat 70-75%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 75%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.1%

Democrat 75%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Torres, 49+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.2%

Bid 93.2% · Ask 98.0%

Torres, 49+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Torres, 52+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.3%

Bid 91.4% · Ask 99.3%

Torres, 52+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Torres, 55+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.8%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 98.5%

Torres, 55+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Torres, 58+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 89.0%

Torres, 58+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Torres, 61+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 71.0%

Torres, 61+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Torres, 64+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 49.0%

Torres, 64+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Torres, 67+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0%

Torres, 67+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Torres, 70+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 14.0%

Torres, 70+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Torres, 73+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.5%

Torres, 73+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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