Market comparison

New York's 16th District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $22K reported volume

Observed 18s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for New York's 16th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8% Democrat 0-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Democrat 20-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 2.8% · Ask 19.2% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.7% Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.3% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.0% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.4% Bid 18.5% · Ask 22.3% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.5% Bid 25.0% · Ask 26.0% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.9% Bid 10.3% · Ask 13.6% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% Democrat 60%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Latimer, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.1% Bid 93.1% · Ask 99.6% Latimer, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Latimer, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.6% Bid 88.0% · Ask 99.5% Latimer, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Latimer, 38+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.8% Bid 83.0% · Ask 94.7% Latimer, 38+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Latimer, 41+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	77.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 87.0% Latimer, 41+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Latimer, 44+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	71.0% Bid 65.0% · Ask 76.0% Latimer, 44+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Latimer, 47+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	54.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 60.0% Latimer, 47+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Latimer, 50+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 44.0% Latimer, 50+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Latimer, 53+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0% Latimer, 53+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Latimer, 56+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 2.7% · Ask 14.0% Latimer, 56+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8%

Democrat 0-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Democrat 20-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 19.2%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.3%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.0%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.4%

Bid 18.5% · Ask 22.3%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 26.0%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.9%

Bid 10.3% · Ask 13.6%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

Democrat 60%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Latimer, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.1%

Bid 93.1% · Ask 99.6%

Latimer, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Latimer, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.6%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 99.5%

Latimer, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Latimer, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

88.8%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 94.7%

Latimer, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Latimer, 41+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 87.0%

Latimer, 41+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Latimer, 44+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 76.0%

Latimer, 44+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Latimer, 47+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

54.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 60.0%

Latimer, 47+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Latimer, 50+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 44.0%

Latimer, 50+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Latimer, 53+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0%

Latimer, 53+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Latimer, 56+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 2.7% · Ask 14.0%

Latimer, 56+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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