Market comparison

New York's 20th District margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $24K reported volume

Observed 17s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for New York's 20th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.9% Democrat 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.7% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.5% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.2% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 38.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 17.0% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 6.1% · Ask 7.8% Democrat 40%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 1.6% · Ask 4.4% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Tonko, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.7% Bid 91.7% · Ask 98.4% Tonko, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tonko, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.7% Bid 87.0% · Ask 98.3% Tonko, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tonko, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.8% Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.5% Tonko, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tonko, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 81.0% Tonko, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tonko, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 54.0% · Ask 66.0% Tonko, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tonko, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	45.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 51.0% Tonko, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tonko, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 37.0% Tonko, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tonko, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 25.0% Tonko, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tonko, 38+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 3.5% · Ask 15.0% Tonko, 38+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.9%

Democrat 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.5%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.2%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 38.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 17.0%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 6.1% · Ask 7.8%

Democrat 40%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 4.4%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tonko, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.7%

Bid 91.7% · Ask 98.4%

Tonko, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tonko, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.7%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 98.3%

Tonko, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tonko, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.8%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.5%

Tonko, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tonko, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 81.0%

Tonko, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tonko, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 66.0%

Tonko, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tonko, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 51.0%

Tonko, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tonko, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 37.0%

Tonko, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tonko, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 25.0%

Tonko, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tonko, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 3.5% · Ask 15.0%

Tonko, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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