Market comparison

New York's 3rd District margin of victory

2 venues · 16 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $23K reported volume

Observed 53s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 53s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for New York's 3rd District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 29.0% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 36.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 26.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.2% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.6% Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.2% Democrat 25%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.2% Bid 7.3% · Ask 13.0% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.6% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 4.9% · Ask 5.0% Republican 5%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Suozzi, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 86.0% Suozzi, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Suozzi, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	73.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 73.0% Suozzi, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Suozzi, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	55.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 56.0% Suozzi, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Suozzi, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 43.0% Suozzi, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Suozzi, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 29.0% Suozzi, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Suozzi, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 6.8% · Ask 18.0% Suozzi, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Suozzi, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 9.5% Suozzi, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Suozzi, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.6% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.6% Suozzi, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 29.0%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 36.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 26.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.2%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.6%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.2%

Democrat 25%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.2%

Bid 7.3% · Ask 13.0%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.6%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 4.9% · Ask 5.0%

Republican 5%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Suozzi, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 86.0%

Suozzi, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Suozzi, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 73.0%

Suozzi, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Suozzi, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 56.0%

Suozzi, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Suozzi, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 43.0%

Suozzi, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Suozzi, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 29.0%

Suozzi, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Suozzi, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 6.8% · Ask 18.0%

Suozzi, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Suozzi, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 9.5%

Suozzi, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Suozzi, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.6%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.6%

Suozzi, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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