Market comparison

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

2 venues · 12 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

33 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 8, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

7 outcomes · $9K reported volume

Observed 21s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Te Pāti Māori Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Te Pāti Māori Open Polymarket ↗	4.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.9% Te Pāti Māori Open Kalshi ↗	4.8 pp
ACT New Zealand Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.6% Bid 3.7% · Ask 11.5% ACT New Zealand Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
ACT New Zealand Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.9% ACT Open Kalshi ↗	—
Green Party Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	82.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 86.0% Green Party Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Green Party Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.0% Green Open Kalshi ↗	—
Labour Party Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Labour Party Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Labour Party Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	48.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 48.0% Labour Open Kalshi ↗	—
National Party Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% National Party Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
National Party Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	55.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 55.0% National Open Kalshi ↗	—
New Zealand First Party Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 17.0% New Zealand First Party Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
New Zealand First Party Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.9% NZ First Open Kalshi ↗	—
Opportunity Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Opportunity Open Kalshi ↗	—

Te Pāti Māori

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Te Pāti Māori

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

4.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.9%

Te Pāti Māori

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 4.8 pp

ACT New Zealand

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.6%

Bid 3.7% · Ask 11.5%

ACT New Zealand

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

ACT New Zealand

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.9%

ACT

Open Kalshi ↗

Green Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

82.0%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 86.0%

Green Party

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Green Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.0%

Green

Open Kalshi ↗

Labour Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Labour Party

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Labour Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

48.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 48.0%

Labour

Open Kalshi ↗

National Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7%

National Party

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

National Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 55.0%

National

Open Kalshi ↗

New Zealand First Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 17.0%

New Zealand First Party

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

New Zealand First Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.9%

NZ First

Open Kalshi ↗

Opportunity

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Opportunity

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets