Market comparison
Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round)
2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 13 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗94 outcomes · $173K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Observed 44s ago
Observed 44s ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 26, 2026
Kalshi
Open venue ↗14 outcomes · $68K reported volume
Observed 44s ago
Recorded venue end date: Apr 18, 2028
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Bruno Retailleau Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
David Lisnard Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Dominique de Villepin Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
douard Philippe Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
François Hollande Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
François Ruffin Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Gabriel Attal Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Jean-Luc Mélenchon Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Jordan Bardella Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Marine Le Pen Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Marine Tondelier Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Raphaël Glucksmann Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
ric Zemmour Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Christine Lagarde Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Flavio Bolsonaro Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Lula Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Sarah Knafo Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Sébastien Lecornu Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Xavier Bertrand Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Bruno Retailleau
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
David Lisnard
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Dominique de Villepin
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
douard Philippe
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
François Hollande
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
François Ruffin
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Gabriel Attal
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Jordan Bardella
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Marine Le Pen
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Marine Tondelier
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Raphaël Glucksmann
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
ric Zemmour
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Christine Lagarde
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Flavio Bolsonaro
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Lula
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Sarah Knafo
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Sébastien Lecornu
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Xavier Bertrand
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.